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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Chez Siyoni

Bujumbura Mairie, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 18% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,060–4,919

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,869–5,605

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

9%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 33% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,060 and 4,919 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,869 and 5,605 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Chez Siyoni: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 33% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,060 and 4,919 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,869 and 5,605 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 11,952); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,074–3,775 3,310 2,830–4,945 3,902 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,986–4,332 3,370 2,621–7,631 3,738 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,060–4,919 3,417 2,735–8,600 4,288 9%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 3,063–5,331 3,442 2,766–11,952 4,396 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,869–5,605 3,429 2,563–10,402 4,157 –
Price history (91 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20263,083
Jul 20263,000
Jun 20263,198
May 20264,583
Apr 20263,750
Mar 20263,167
Feb 20263,155
Jan 20263,175
Dec 20253,073
Nov 20253,027
Oct 20253,063
Sept 20253,028
Aug 20253,211
Jul 20253,475
Jun 20253,389
May 20253,483
Apr 20253,675
Mar 20253,557
Feb 20253,393
Jan 20253,213
Dec 20243,100
Nov 20243,180
Oct 20243,140
Sept 20243,073
Aug 20242,972
Jul 20242,900
Jun 20242,808
May 20243,533
Apr 20243,300
Mar 20242,976
Feb 20243,006
Jan 20243,108
Dec 20233,250
Nov 20233,100
Oct 20233,012
Sept 20232,800
Aug 20232,613
Jul 20232,578
Jun 20233,214
May 20233,658
Apr 20233,425
Mar 20233,542
Feb 20233,206
Jan 20233,050
Dec 20222,333
Oct 20221,500
Sept 20221,606
Aug 20221,645
Jul 20221,425
Jun 20221,750
May 20222,162
Apr 20221,723
Mar 20221,500
Feb 20221,267
Jan 20221,350
Oct 20211,283
May 20211,650
Apr 20211,728
Mar 20211,700
Feb 20211,633
Jan 20211,300
Nov 20201,800
Sept 20201,500
Aug 20201,460
Jul 20201,304
Jun 20201,258
Mar 20201,486
Feb 20201,225
Jan 20201,300
Dec 20191,367
Nov 20191,242
Oct 20191,220
Aug 20191,250
Jul 20191,242
Jun 20191,000
May 20191,200
Mar 20191,300
Feb 20191,140
Jan 20191,190
Dec 20181,300
Nov 20181,200
Oct 20181,190
Sept 20181,175
Aug 20181,170
Jul 20181,130
Jun 20181,050
May 20181,325
Apr 20181,060
Mar 20181,033
Feb 20181,100
Jan 20181,000

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2464-829-retail-kg.