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Maize (white) in Buhiga

Karuzi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 24% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,148–1,785

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,117–1,894

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 24% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,148 and 1,785 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,117 and 1,894 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Buhiga: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 24% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,148 and 1,785 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,117 and 1,894 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,116–1,584 1,327 1,037–1,683 1,827 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,119–1,658 1,362 1,000–1,849 1,812 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,148–1,785 1,387 995–1,869 1,921 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,166–1,908 1,454 1,034–2,121 2,180 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,117–1,894 1,393 928–2,137 1,900 –
Price history (115 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,250
Jul 20261,100
Jun 20261,161
May 20261,178
Apr 20261,000
Mar 20261,012
Feb 20261,595
Jan 20261,695
Dec 20251,624
Nov 20251,415
Oct 20251,498
Sept 20251,515
Aug 20251,300
Jul 20251,323
Jun 20251,453
May 20251,167
Apr 20251,144
Mar 20251,243
Feb 20251,355
Jan 20251,963
Dec 20242,335
Nov 20242,217
Oct 20241,800
Sept 20241,672
Aug 20241,555
Jul 20241,133
Jun 20241,146
May 2024933
Apr 20241,000
Mar 20241,083
Feb 20241,188
Jan 20241,550
Dec 20231,550
Nov 20231,600
Oct 20231,720
Sept 20231,617
Aug 20231,667
Jul 20231,461
Jun 20231,364
May 20231,294
Apr 20231,414
Mar 20231,544
Feb 20231,533
Dec 20221,900
Nov 20221,797
Oct 20221,503
Sept 20221,377
Aug 20221,356
Jul 20221,300
May 2022901
Apr 2022773
Mar 2022678
Feb 2022683
Jan 20221,033
Oct 2021950
Aug 2021883
May 2021600
Apr 2021666
Mar 2021657
Feb 2021650
Jan 2021900
Dec 20201,042
Nov 2020797
Oct 2020775
Sept 2020713
Aug 2020646
Jul 2020649
Jun 2020539
Mar 2020607
Feb 2020468
Jan 20201,017
Dec 20191,157
Oct 2019896
Aug 2019743
Jul 2019815
Jun 2019533
May 2019477
Mar 2019375
Feb 2019576
Jan 2019617
Dec 2018650
Nov 2018550
Oct 2018438
Sept 2018460
Aug 2018475
Jul 2018492
Jun 2018408
May 2018412
Aug 20171,092
Jul 20171,083
Jun 20171,041
May 2017969
Apr 2017983
Feb 2017755
Oct 2016800
Sept 20161,000
Aug 2016650
Jun 2016453
May 2016448
Apr 2016423
Mar 2016431
Feb 2016460
Jan 2016600
Nov 2015777
Oct 2015984
Aug 2015473
Jul 2015420
Jun 2015399
May 2015343
Apr 2015337
Mar 2015237
Feb 2015306
Jan 2015375
Nov 2014520
Oct 2014775

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2465-67-retail-kg.