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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Buhiga

Karuzi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 3% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,319–3,674

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,258–4,472

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 33% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,319 and 3,674 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,258 and 4,472 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Buhiga: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 33% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,319 and 3,674 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,258 and 4,472 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 9,706); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,324–2,970 2,568 2,159–3,708 2,944 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,296–3,332 2,621 2,104–4,282 2,931 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,319–3,674 2,600 2,112–4,797 3,134 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,310–3,907 2,689 2,134–5,943 3,395 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,258–4,472 2,620 2,079–9,706 3,116 –
Price history (123 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,467
Jul 20262,200
Jun 20262,246
May 20263,689
Apr 20264,500
Mar 20262,996
Feb 20262,749
Jan 20262,268
Dec 20252,305
Nov 20252,292
Oct 20252,298
Sept 20252,325
Aug 20252,350
Jul 20252,431
Jun 20252,116
May 20252,254
Apr 20252,777
Mar 20252,964
Feb 20252,939
Jan 20253,000
Dec 20243,303
Nov 20242,965
Oct 20242,882
Sept 20242,735
Aug 20242,472
Jul 20241,978
Jun 20242,057
May 20242,164
Apr 20242,800
Mar 20242,556
Feb 20242,541
Jan 20242,352
Dec 20232,200
Nov 20232,189
Oct 20232,552
Sept 20232,433
Aug 20232,567
Jul 20232,000
Jun 20231,583
May 20233,182
Apr 20233,359
Mar 20233,324
Feb 20233,000
Dec 20222,000
Nov 20221,897
Oct 20221,583
Sept 20221,330
Aug 20221,220
Jul 20221,100
May 20221,527
Apr 20221,554
Mar 20221,083
Feb 20221,083
Jan 20221,050
Oct 2021983
Aug 2021933
May 20211,100
Apr 20211,125
Mar 20211,483
Feb 20211,450
Jan 20211,167
Dec 20201,478
Nov 20201,453
Oct 20201,400
Sept 20201,318
Aug 20201,237
Jul 20201,112
Jun 2020944
Mar 20201,250
Feb 20201,117
Jan 2020985
Dec 20191,036
Nov 2019978
Oct 2019956
Aug 2019870
Jul 2019945
Jun 2019700
May 20191,050
Mar 20191,067
Feb 20191,058
Jan 20191,183
Dec 20181,150
Nov 2018925
Oct 2018946
Sept 2018830
Aug 2018747
Jul 2018750
Jun 2018800
May 2018867
Aug 2017917
Jul 2017905
Jun 2017766
May 2017917
Apr 20171,272
Feb 20171,561
Jan 20171,600
Dec 20161,400
Nov 20161,175
Oct 20161,166
Sept 2016996
Aug 2016918
Jul 2016767
Jun 2016684
May 2016800
Apr 20161,017
Mar 20161,171
Feb 20161,058
Jan 2016910
Dec 20151,083
Nov 2015870
Oct 2015789
Sept 2015680
Aug 2015640
Jul 2015580
Jun 2015538
May 2015685
Apr 2015750
Mar 2015657
Feb 2015580
Jan 2015621
Dec 2014690
Nov 2014738
Oct 2014768

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2465-829-retail-kg.