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Maize (white) in Cankuzo

Cankuzo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 10% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,427–2,116

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,363–2,455

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 10% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,427 and 2,116 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,363 and 2,455 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Cankuzo: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 10% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,427 and 2,116 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,363 and 2,455 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 5,070); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,364–1,732 1,531 1,204–1,990 1,794 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,384–1,942 1,608 1,180–2,191 2,008 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,427–2,116 1,668 1,184–2,873 2,204 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,414–2,306 1,694 1,236–4,051 2,271 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,363–2,455 1,629 1,141–5,070 2,107 –
Price history (121 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20261,300
Aug 20261,557
Jun 20262,000
May 20261,400
Apr 20261,175
Mar 20261,341
Feb 20261,568
Jan 20261,761
Dec 20251,795
Nov 20251,614
Oct 20251,494
Sept 20251,533
Aug 20251,400
Jul 20251,621
Jun 20251,459
May 20251,343
Apr 20251,386
Mar 20251,360
Feb 20251,288
Jan 20252,267
Dec 20242,362
Nov 20242,072
Oct 20241,836
Sept 20241,777
Aug 20241,575
Jul 20241,485
Jun 20241,388
May 20241,319
Apr 20241,325
Mar 20241,314
Feb 20241,330
Jan 20241,642
Dec 20231,550
Nov 20231,800
Oct 20231,765
Sept 20231,809
Aug 20231,587
Jul 20231,562
Jun 20231,533
May 20231,433
Apr 20231,508
Mar 20231,800
Feb 20231,692
Jan 20231,717
Dec 20222,003
Nov 20222,067
Oct 20221,606
Sept 20221,397
Aug 20221,433
Jul 20221,200
Jun 20221,100
May 2022975
Apr 2022850
Mar 2022858
Feb 2022867
Jan 20221,150
May 2021680
Apr 2021680
Mar 2021705
Feb 2021915
Jan 2021891
Dec 2020838
Nov 2020886
Sept 2020800
Aug 2020791
Jul 2020807
Jun 2020770
Mar 2020628
Feb 2020792
Jan 20201,225
Dec 20191,166
Oct 2019970
Aug 2019796
Jul 2019888
Jun 2019600
May 2019575
Mar 2019550
Feb 2019762
Jan 2019740
Dec 2018793
Nov 2018767
Oct 2018650
Sept 2018514
Aug 2018710
Jul 2018670
Jun 2018525
May 2018592
Jul 2017996
Jun 20171,047
May 2017938
Apr 2017956
Mar 2017969
Feb 20171,243
Dec 20161,133
Nov 2016984
Oct 2016798
Sept 2016695
Aug 2016626
Jul 2016617
Jun 2016556
May 2016466
Apr 2016413
Mar 2016527
Feb 20161,000
Jan 2016843
Dec 2015835
Nov 2015765
Oct 2015712
Sept 2015584
Aug 2015546
Jul 2015508
Jun 2015486
May 2015367
Apr 2015327
Mar 2015322
Feb 2015453
Jan 2015463
Dec 2014471
Nov 2014460
Oct 2014466
Sept 2014433

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2466-67-retail-kg.