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Maize flour in Cankuzo

Cankuzo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 1% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,789–2,867

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,737–3,191

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

9%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was at the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 12% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,789 and 2,867 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,737 and 3,191 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Cankuzo: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was at the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 12% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,789 and 2,867 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,737 and 3,191 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,190); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,779–2,190 1,990 1,549–2,766 2,160 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,778–2,515 2,078 1,560–3,460 2,426 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,789–2,867 2,094 1,472–4,942 2,438 9%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,787–3,029 2,127 1,540–6,512 2,570 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,737–3,191 2,070 1,433–7,190 2,398 –
Price history (121 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20262,000
Aug 20262,047
Jun 20261,933
May 20261,825
Apr 20261,625
Mar 20261,953
Feb 20262,057
Jan 20262,135
Dec 20252,110
Nov 20251,882
Oct 20251,894
Sept 20251,900
Aug 20251,783
Jul 20252,054
Jun 20251,960
May 20251,853
Apr 20251,737
Mar 20251,779
Feb 20251,789
Jan 20252,525
Dec 20242,656
Nov 20242,397
Oct 20242,300
Sept 20242,032
Aug 20241,843
Jul 20241,771
Jun 20241,669
May 20241,586
Apr 20241,425
Mar 20241,573
Feb 20241,647
Jan 20241,917
Dec 20231,950
Nov 20232,050
Oct 20231,997
Sept 20232,124
Aug 20231,835
Jul 20231,812
Jun 20231,767
May 20231,767
Apr 20231,850
Mar 20232,219
Feb 20232,033
Jan 20232,033
Dec 20222,188
Nov 20222,235
Oct 20221,729
Sept 20221,564
Aug 20221,400
Jul 20221,275
Jun 20221,200
May 20221,120
Apr 20221,000
Mar 20221,067
Feb 20221,100
Jan 20221,267
May 2021950
Apr 2021946
Mar 20211,018
Feb 20211,000
Jan 20211,000
Dec 20201,000
Nov 20201,016
Sept 20201,000
Aug 20201,016
Jul 2020978
Jun 2020909
Mar 20201,021
Feb 2020933
Jan 20201,607
Dec 20191,262
Oct 20191,393
Aug 20191,199
Jul 20191,233
Jun 2019700
May 2019717
Mar 2019720
Feb 20191,125
Jan 2019980
Dec 20181,086
Nov 2018967
Oct 20181,033
Sept 2018900
Aug 2018950
Jul 2018950
Jun 2018942
May 2018858
Jul 20171,250
Jun 20171,250
May 20171,208
Apr 20171,125
Mar 20171,155
Feb 20171,500
Dec 20161,417
Nov 20161,162
Oct 2016958
Sept 2016875
Aug 2016834
Jul 2016781
Jun 2016710
May 2016623
Apr 2016625
Mar 2016781
Feb 20161,250
Jan 20161,244
Dec 20151,250
Nov 2015931
Oct 2015867
Sept 2015734
Aug 2015744
Jul 2015692
Jun 2015582
May 2015500
Apr 2015500
Mar 2015538
Feb 2015625
Jan 2015625
Dec 2014734
Nov 2014625
Oct 2014622
Sept 2014608

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2466-76-retail-kg.