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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Cankuzo

Cankuzo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 2% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,779–4,187

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,589–4,714

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 2% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 14% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,779 and 4,187 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,589 and 4,714 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Cankuzo: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 2% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 14% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,779 and 4,187 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,589 and 4,714 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,588); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,793–3,525 3,047 2,564–4,113 3,491 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,800–3,896 3,128 2,425–4,952 3,657 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,779–4,187 3,069 2,373–5,304 3,712 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,757–4,543 3,085 2,346–6,696 3,802 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,589–4,714 2,977 2,322–7,588 3,292 –
Price history (122 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20263,000
Aug 20263,000
Jun 20262,667
May 20263,500
Apr 20264,000
Mar 20263,229
Feb 20262,818
Jan 20262,661
Dec 20252,940
Nov 20252,744
Oct 20252,836
Sept 20252,722
Aug 20252,633
Jul 20252,805
Jun 20252,555
May 20252,716
Apr 20253,025
Mar 20253,273
Feb 20253,054
Jan 20253,233
Dec 20243,373
Nov 20243,081
Oct 20243,391
Sept 20243,094
Aug 20242,694
Jul 20242,523
Jun 20242,431
May 20242,553
Apr 20242,900
Mar 20242,514
Feb 20242,302
Jan 20242,240
Dec 20232,150
Nov 20232,225
Oct 20232,552
Sept 20232,562
Aug 20232,374
Jul 20232,204
Jun 20232,433
May 20232,783
Apr 20233,365
Mar 20233,262
Feb 20232,967
Jan 20232,867
Dec 20222,152
Nov 20222,273
Oct 20221,846
Sept 20221,622
Aug 20221,500
Jul 20221,450
Jun 20221,400
May 20221,557
Apr 20221,500
Mar 20221,183
Feb 20221,133
Jan 20221,233
May 20211,000
Apr 20211,209
Mar 20211,356
Feb 20211,325
Jan 20211,262
Dec 20201,376
Nov 20201,633
Sept 20201,400
Aug 20201,309
Jul 20201,214
Jun 20201,017
Mar 20201,240
Feb 20201,100
Jan 20201,038
Dec 20191,135
Nov 20191,123
Oct 20191,078
Aug 20191,005
Jul 20191,083
Jun 2019800
May 2019850
Mar 20191,080
Feb 20191,075
Jan 2019960
Dec 20181,343
Nov 20181,142
Oct 20181,100
Sept 20181,010
Aug 2018970
Jul 2018920
Jun 2018850
May 2018875
Jul 2017987
Jun 20171,000
May 2017967
Apr 20171,256
Mar 20171,260
Feb 20171,472
Dec 20161,389
Nov 20161,233
Oct 20161,163
Sept 20161,051
Aug 2016986
Jul 2016905
Jun 2016826
May 2016814
Apr 2016952
Mar 2016976
Feb 2016922
Jan 2016786
Dec 20151,180
Nov 2015938
Oct 2015800
Sept 2015719
Aug 2015642
Jul 2015555
Jun 2015573
May 2015700
Apr 2015713
Mar 2015660
Feb 2015686
Jan 2015664
Dec 2014826
Nov 2014739
Oct 2014745
Sept 2014744

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2466-829-retail-kg.