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Food basket in Cankuzo

Cankuzo, Burundi · BIF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 L Oil (palm).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

25,485–36,827

BIF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

24,814–42,620

BIF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 28,368 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 25,485 and 36,827 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 24,814 and 42,620 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Cankuzo: BIF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 28,368 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 25,485 and 36,827 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 24,814 and 42,620 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.020,00040,00060,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

BIF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 62,834); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 26,141–31,091 28,459 24,719–32,791
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 25,674–33,015 28,717 23,535–36,572
Nov 2026
Next month		 25,485–36,827 29,246 23,413–43,914
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 25,098–39,787 29,646 22,855–55,017
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 24,814–42,620 29,782 21,892–62,834
Cost history (87 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (BIF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 202630,300
Aug 202628,368
Jun 202627,520
May 202626,820
Apr 202629,220
Mar 202629,749
Feb 202629,033
Jan 202627,781
Dec 202529,192
Nov 202528,167
Oct 202528,973
Sept 202530,017
Aug 202532,418
Jul 202531,002
Jun 202531,408
May 202531,613
Apr 202529,854
Mar 202529,731
Feb 202527,674
Jan 202528,820
Dec 202428,800
Nov 202429,561
Oct 202428,244
Sept 202427,612
Aug 202427,209
Jul 202426,719
Jun 202426,564
May 202425,856
Apr 202424,536
Mar 202427,389
Feb 202425,928
Jan 202426,953
Dec 202327,292
Nov 202326,996
Oct 202327,520
Sept 202327,783
Aug 202326,638
Jul 202327,939
Jun 202327,095
May 202326,940
Apr 202329,145
Mar 202329,968
Feb 202327,464
Jan 202326,093
Dec 202223,714
Nov 202223,731
Oct 202220,252
Sept 202219,195
Aug 202218,929
Jul 202218,108
Jun 202217,280
May 202216,906
Apr 202215,880
Mar 202215,424
Feb 202215,984
Jan 202215,789
May 202114,070
Apr 202114,685
Mar 202114,378
Feb 202112,510
Jan 202112,018
Dec 202013,039
Nov 202013,195
Sept 202011,560
Aug 202011,181
Jul 202011,450
Jun 202011,277
Mar 202011,981
Feb 202011,220
Jan 202011,298
Dec 201911,840
Oct 20199,589
Aug 20199,212
Jul 20199,647
Jun 20199,510
May 201910,604
Mar 201912,419
Feb 201911,714
Jan 201911,983
Dec 201812,803
Nov 201811,927
Oct 201812,575
Sept 201812,626
Aug 201813,804
Jul 201813,348
Jun 201813,607
May 201812,099

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burundi

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 81% 94% 5% 1,874
Estimate (this month) 79% 93% 8% 1,810
Next month 78% 92% 10% 1,746
In 2 months 77% 91% 11% 1,683
In 3 months 78% 91% 13% 1,620