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Maize (white) in Gatabo

Muramvya, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 19% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,293–1,935

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,227–1,978

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 13% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,293 and 1,935 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,227 and 1,978 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Gatabo: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 13% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,293 and 1,935 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,227 and 1,978 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,227–1,616 1,422 1,148–1,884 1,947 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,252–1,787 1,493 1,119–1,967 2,039 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,293–1,935 1,577 1,095–2,325 2,298 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,283–1,981 1,611 1,079–2,192 2,411 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,227–1,978 1,529 1,047–2,474 2,096 –
Price history (124 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,401
Jul 20261,233
Jun 20261,267
May 20261,244
Apr 20261,233
Mar 20261,165
Feb 20261,369
Jan 20261,850
Dec 20251,767
Nov 20251,717
Oct 20251,442
Sept 20251,552
Aug 20251,456
Jul 20251,444
Jun 20251,398
May 20251,135
Apr 20251,195
Mar 20251,182
Feb 20251,743
Jan 20252,239
Dec 20242,477
Nov 20242,069
Oct 20242,060
Sept 20241,770
Aug 20241,670
Jul 20241,389
Jun 20241,231
May 20241,161
Apr 20241,325
Mar 20241,398
Feb 20241,389
Jan 20242,033
Dec 20231,967
Nov 20232,100
Oct 20231,800
Sept 20231,945
Aug 20231,879
Jul 20231,611
Jun 20231,627
May 20231,582
Apr 20231,581
Mar 20231,616
Feb 20231,530
Dec 20222,100
Nov 20221,997
Oct 20221,650
Sept 20221,519
Aug 20221,467
Jun 20221,100
May 2022958
Apr 2022819
Mar 2022725
Feb 2022949
Jan 20221,200
Oct 20211,025
May 2021700
Apr 2021696
Mar 2021700
Feb 2021900
Jan 20211,000
Dec 20201,096
Nov 20201,026
Sept 2020850
Aug 2020752
Jul 2020746
Jun 2020617
Mar 2020614
Feb 2020560
Jan 20201,111
Dec 20191,183
Oct 20191,002
Aug 2019758
Jul 2019876
Jun 2019540
May 2019492
Mar 2019450
Feb 2019558
Jan 2019780
Dec 2018770
Nov 2018700
Oct 2018586
Sept 2018533
Aug 2018500
Jul 2018533
Jun 2018500
May 2018483
Jan 2018846
Nov 20171,080
Oct 20171,133
Sept 20171,125
Aug 20171,108
Jul 20171,114
Jun 20171,092
May 20171,027
Apr 2017913
Mar 2017837
Feb 2017850
Dec 20161,256
Nov 20161,103
Oct 2016937
Sept 2016816
Aug 2016779
Jul 2016649
Jun 2016566
May 2016494
Apr 2016471
Mar 2016451
Feb 2016536
Jan 2016767
Dec 2015807
Nov 2015808
Oct 2015758
Sept 2015613
Aug 2015559
Jul 2015459
Jun 2015401
May 2015398
Apr 2015345
Mar 2015330
Feb 2015314
Jan 2015486
Dec 2014554
Nov 2014667
Oct 2014676

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2467-67-retail-kg.