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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Gatabo

Muramvya, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 4% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,676–4,037

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,548–4,738

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

7%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 4% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 40% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,676 and 4,037 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,548 and 4,738 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Gatabo: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 4% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 40% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,676 and 4,037 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,548 and 4,738 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,344); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,659–3,280 2,860 2,394–3,861 3,196 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,688–3,671 2,950 2,307–4,550 3,225 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,676–4,037 2,913 2,258–5,470 3,508 7%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,673–4,245 3,002 2,264–5,341 3,716 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,548–4,738 2,925 2,304–7,344 3,334 –
Price history (126 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,744
Jul 20262,700
Jun 20262,600
May 20264,567
Apr 20264,167
Mar 20263,129
Feb 20262,758
Jan 20262,500
Dec 20252,467
Nov 20252,417
Oct 20252,717
Sept 20252,470
Aug 20252,522
Jul 20252,590
Jun 20252,338
May 20252,485
Apr 20253,028
Mar 20253,441
Feb 20253,043
Jan 20253,096
Dec 20243,623
Nov 20243,277
Oct 20243,130
Sept 20243,015
Aug 20242,782
Jul 20242,378
Jun 20242,262
May 20242,270
Apr 20243,200
Mar 20242,921
Feb 20242,835
Jan 20242,900
Dec 20232,767
Nov 20232,850
Oct 20232,846
Sept 20232,694
Aug 20232,564
Jul 20232,250
Jun 20232,339
May 20233,091
Apr 20233,450
Mar 20233,532
Feb 20233,400
Dec 20222,145
Nov 20222,194
Oct 20221,688
Sept 20221,610
Aug 20221,425
Jun 20221,000
May 20221,543
Apr 20221,546
Mar 20221,225
Feb 20221,300
Jan 20221,125
Oct 20211,225
May 20211,350
Apr 20211,476
Mar 20211,600
Feb 20211,500
Jan 20211,467
Dec 20201,650
Nov 20201,596
Sept 20201,408
Aug 20201,313
Jul 20201,195
Jun 20201,133
Mar 20201,417
Feb 20201,420
Jan 20201,191
Dec 20191,218
Nov 20191,090
Oct 20191,072
Aug 2019900
Jul 20191,078
Jun 2019840
May 20191,183
Mar 20191,340
Feb 20191,167
Jan 20191,283
Dec 20181,267
Nov 20181,167
Oct 20181,100
Sept 20181,067
Aug 2018990
Jul 2018983
Jun 20181,033
May 20181,167
Jan 2018929
Nov 20171,185
Oct 20171,176
Sept 20171,096
Aug 20171,002
Jul 2017968
Jun 2017922
May 20171,057
Apr 20171,416
Mar 20171,420
Feb 20171,504
Jan 20171,600
Dec 20161,562
Nov 20161,267
Oct 20161,156
Sept 2016925
Aug 2016908
Jul 2016895
Jun 2016685
May 2016933
Apr 20161,100
Mar 20161,213
Feb 20161,108
Jan 2016971
Dec 20151,240
Nov 2015953
Oct 2015881
Sept 2015662
Aug 2015621
Jul 2015595
Jun 2015574
May 2015742
Apr 2015823
Mar 2015762
Feb 2015721
Jan 2015685
Dec 2014800
Nov 2014800
Oct 2014829

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2467-829-retail-kg.