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Maize (white) in Gisuru

Ruyigi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 22% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,246–2,230

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,226–2,538

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

7%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 14% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,246 and 2,230 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,226 and 2,538 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Gisuru: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 14% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,246 and 2,230 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,226 and 2,538 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 6,442); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,216–1,660 1,390 1,075–2,299 1,809 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,183–1,838 1,429 1,041–2,493 1,899 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,246–2,230 1,473 1,090–4,381 2,047 7%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,245–2,265 1,493 1,120–4,502 2,143 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,226–2,538 1,503 1,103–6,442 2,199 –
Price history (122 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,367
Jun 20261,283
May 20261,200
Apr 20261,129
Mar 20261,542
Feb 20262,100
Jan 20262,046
Dec 20251,563
Nov 20251,326
Oct 20251,465
Sept 20251,412
Aug 20251,200
Jun 20251,649
May 20251,319
Apr 20251,300
Mar 20251,703
Feb 20252,509
Jan 20252,167
Dec 20242,142
Nov 20242,252
Oct 20241,948
Sept 20241,898
Aug 20241,687
Jul 20241,325
Jun 20241,191
May 2024921
Apr 20241,617
Mar 20241,455
Feb 20241,739
Jan 20241,544
Dec 20231,483
Nov 20231,900
Oct 20231,988
Sept 20231,835
Aug 20231,570
Jul 20231,550
Jun 20231,282
May 20231,285
Apr 20231,228
Mar 20232,000
Feb 20232,296
Jan 20231,650
Dec 20221,600
Nov 20221,700
Oct 20221,575
Sept 20221,550
Aug 20221,382
Jun 2022933
May 2022827
Apr 2022800
Mar 2022933
Feb 2022972
Jan 2022966
Oct 2021800
Sept 2021800
May 2021617
Apr 2021653
Mar 2021927
Feb 2021900
Jan 2021944
Dec 2020981
Nov 2020883
Oct 2020775
Sept 2020709
Aug 2020852
Jul 2020735
Jun 2020687
Mar 2020683
Feb 2020950
Jan 20201,092
Dec 20191,078
Oct 2019934
Jul 2019688
Jun 2019583
Mar 2019710
Feb 2019867
Jan 2019870
Dec 2018670
Nov 2018550
Oct 2018518
Sept 2018500
Aug 2018550
Jul 2018518
Jun 2018533
May 2018483
Oct 2017950
Sept 2017901
Aug 2017925
Jul 2017967
May 2017894
Apr 2017788
Mar 2017882
Feb 20171,252
Jan 2017944
Dec 20161,031
Nov 2016880
Oct 2016710
Sept 2016662
Aug 2016629
Jul 2016602
Jun 2016516
May 2016458
Apr 2016446
Mar 2016560
Feb 2016788
Jan 2016672
Dec 2015667
Nov 2015621
Oct 2015468
Sept 2015425
Aug 2015436
Jul 2015405
Jun 2015410
May 2015395
Apr 2015372
Mar 2015405
Feb 2015345
Jan 2015395
Dec 2014403
Nov 2014386
Oct 2014424
Sept 2014400

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2468-67-retail-kg.