Staple Signals Français

Home › Burundi

Beans (haricot, yellow) in Gisuru

Ruyigi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 2% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,957–4,944

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,527–5,362

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

7%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 2% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 9% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,957 and 4,944 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,527 and 5,362 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Gisuru: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 2% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 9% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,957 and 4,944 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,527 and 5,362 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 10,796); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,881–3,856 3,240 2,594–4,727 3,547 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,855–4,239 3,297 2,409–5,431 3,638 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,957–4,944 3,332 2,342–6,600 4,104 7%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,908–5,175 3,334 2,294–7,983 4,178 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,527–5,362 3,107 2,390–10,796 3,343 –
Price history (122 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20263,233
Jun 20262,567
May 20263,573
Apr 20264,517
Mar 20262,693
Feb 20262,490
Jan 20262,158
Dec 20252,717
Nov 20252,706
Oct 20252,785
Sept 20252,931
Aug 20252,600
Jun 20252,807
May 20252,954
Apr 20253,100
Mar 20253,175
Feb 20252,865
Jan 20252,506
Dec 20243,969
Nov 20243,812
Oct 20243,212
Sept 20243,336
Aug 20243,349
Jul 20242,764
Jun 20242,394
May 20242,661
Apr 20242,867
Mar 20242,535
Feb 20242,233
Jan 20241,950
Dec 20232,667
Nov 20232,533
Oct 20232,975
Sept 20232,800
Aug 20232,715
Jul 20232,417
Jun 20231,682
May 20232,840
Apr 20233,465
Mar 20233,194
Feb 20232,689
Jan 20233,250
Dec 20222,733
Nov 20222,300
Oct 20221,835
Sept 20221,729
Aug 20221,559
Jun 20221,067
May 20221,501
Apr 20221,333
Mar 2022933
Feb 2022918
Jan 20221,031
Oct 20211,500
Sept 20211,350
May 2021967
Apr 20211,206
Mar 20211,189
Feb 20211,175
Jan 20211,361
Dec 20201,761
Nov 20202,350
Oct 20201,500
Sept 20201,412
Aug 20201,152
Jul 20201,084
Jun 2020985
Mar 20201,150
Feb 2020960
Jan 20201,133
Dec 20191,158
Nov 20191,158
Oct 20191,200
Jul 2019944
Mar 2019940
Feb 2019950
Jan 20191,100
Dec 20181,380
Nov 20181,320
Oct 20181,183
Sept 20181,100
Aug 2018980
Jul 2018917
Jun 2018833
May 2018750
Oct 20171,243
Sept 20171,149
Aug 20171,149
Jul 20171,096
May 2017950
Apr 20171,062
Mar 20171,097
Feb 20171,205
Jan 20171,556
Dec 20161,494
Nov 20161,324
Oct 20161,084
Sept 20161,058
Aug 2016903
Jul 2016752
Jun 2016719
May 2016712
Apr 2016837
Mar 2016833
Feb 2016743
Jan 2016626
Dec 20151,128
Nov 2015928
Oct 2015759
Sept 2015583
Aug 2015545
Jul 2015491
Jun 2015523
May 2015585
Apr 2015692
Mar 2015600
Feb 2015582
Jan 2015625
Dec 20141,028
Nov 20141,084
Oct 20141,200
Sept 20141,100

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2468-829-retail-kg.