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Food basket in Gisuru

Ruyigi, Burundi · BIF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 L Oil (palm).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

24,867–37,332

BIF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

24,066–42,222

BIF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 29,070 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 24,867 and 37,332 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 24,066 and 42,222 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Gisuru: BIF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 29,070 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 24,867 and 37,332 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 24,066 and 42,222 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.020,00040,00060,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

BIF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 60,050); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 25,687–32,462 28,675 24,302–35,278
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 24,454–34,027 28,277 22,642–41,035
Nov 2026
Next month		 24,867–37,332 28,870 23,283–46,282
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 24,662–40,803 29,926 23,053–56,988
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 24,066–42,222 29,610 22,568–60,050
Cost history (84 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (BIF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 202629,070
Jun 202626,945
May 202628,435
Apr 202628,743
Mar 202626,692
Feb 202627,330
Jan 202626,570
Dec 202527,870
Nov 202528,034
Oct 202528,672
Sept 202531,866
Aug 202526,820
Jun 202533,388
May 202535,387
Apr 202538,880
Mar 202533,825
Feb 202532,199
Jan 202527,865
Dec 202432,017
Nov 202428,363
Oct 202425,081
Sept 202428,320
Aug 202428,274
Jul 202427,038
Jun 202427,011
May 202427,830
Apr 202426,955
Mar 202430,076
Feb 202426,820
Jan 202427,167
Dec 202326,480
Nov 202326,125
Oct 202328,286
Sept 202327,273
Aug 202327,017
Jul 202327,087
Jun 202322,553
May 202324,972
Apr 202324,484
Mar 202323,958
Feb 202325,579
Jan 202323,286
Dec 202223,027
Nov 202220,272
Oct 202214,311
Sept 202215,507
Aug 202215,922
Jun 202214,970
May 202219,413
Apr 202213,795
Mar 202212,070
Feb 202210,685
Jan 202211,664
Oct 202115,405
Sept 202114,839
May 202111,385
Apr 202111,090
Mar 202112,150
Feb 202113,189
Jan 202112,633
Dec 202013,782
Nov 202013,539
Oct 202011,842
Sept 202011,298
Aug 202010,503
Jul 202010,324
Jun 20209,950
Mar 202010,958
Feb 202011,757
Jan 202014,045
Dec 201912,072
Oct 20199,779
Jul 201910,113
Mar 20199,453
Feb 20199,223
Jan 20198,990
Dec 20189,543
Nov 20189,042
Oct 20188,992
Sept 201810,374
Aug 201811,454
Jul 201811,100
Jun 201813,160
May 20189,910

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burundi

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 81% 94% 5% 1,874
Estimate (this month) 79% 93% 8% 1,810
Next month 78% 92% 10% 1,746
In 2 months 77% 91% 11% 1,683
In 3 months 78% 91% 13% 1,620