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Maize (white) in Gitaza

Bujumbura Rural, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 17% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,873–2,806

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,848–2,909

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 17% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 18% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,873 and 2,806 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,848 and 2,909 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Gitaza: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 17% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 18% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,873 and 2,806 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,848 and 2,909 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 4,496); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,871–2,234 2,018 1,764–2,675 2,588 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,813–2,439 2,063 1,678–3,677 2,607 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,873–2,806 2,112 1,691–4,496 2,808 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,934–2,787 2,229 1,689–3,600 3,153 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,848–2,909 2,179 1,615–4,194 2,952 –
Price history (85 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,000
Jun 20261,767
May 20261,691
Apr 20261,592
Mar 20261,825
Feb 20261,959
Jan 20261,981
Dec 20251,990
Nov 20251,912
Oct 20251,912
Sept 20251,956
Aug 20252,000
Jul 20252,000
Jun 20251,751
May 20251,615
Apr 20251,763
Mar 20251,711
Feb 20252,721
Jan 20252,944
Dec 20242,988
Nov 20242,145
Oct 20242,043
Sept 20242,111
Aug 20242,107
Jul 20241,725
Jun 20241,633
May 20241,500
Apr 20241,700
Mar 20241,792
Feb 20241,939
Jan 20241,980
Dec 20232,000
Nov 20232,050
Oct 20232,046
Sept 20231,988
Aug 20231,895
Jul 20231,813
Jun 20231,800
May 20231,738
Apr 20231,880
Mar 20231,957
Feb 20231,966
Dec 20222,132
Nov 20222,123
Oct 20221,617
Sept 20221,630
Aug 20221,458
Jul 20221,467
May 20221,280
Apr 20221,350
Mar 20221,283
Feb 20221,283
Jan 20221,250
Oct 20211,075
Apr 2021918
Mar 20211,005
Feb 20211,175
Jan 20211,088
Dec 20201,186
Nov 20201,027
Oct 2020933
Sept 2020898
Aug 2020872
Jul 2020823
Jun 2020833
Mar 2020795
Feb 20201,040
Jan 20201,219
Dec 20191,214
Oct 20191,155
Aug 2019859
Jul 2019990
Jun 2019633
May 2019708
Mar 2019792
Feb 2019710
Jan 2019917
Dec 2018883
Nov 2018780
Oct 2018710
Sept 2018730
Aug 2018706
Jul 2018670
Jun 2018650
May 2018630

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2469-67-retail-kg.