Staple Signals Français

Home › Burundi

Beans (haricot, yellow) in Gitaza

Bujumbura Rural, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 3% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,986–4,472

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,669–4,997

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

7%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 36% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,986 and 4,472 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,669 and 4,997 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Gitaza: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 36% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,986 and 4,472 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,669 and 4,997 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 9,178); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,954–3,662 3,205 2,657–4,456 3,599 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,953–3,934 3,270 2,588–5,601 3,519 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,986–4,472 3,250 2,470–6,259 3,889 7%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,933–4,899 3,270 2,453–8,169 4,025 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,669–4,997 3,159 2,415–9,178 3,284 –
Price history (120 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20263,067
Jun 20263,167
May 20264,778
Apr 20264,754
Mar 20263,500
Feb 20263,197
Jan 20262,981
Dec 20253,053
Nov 20253,000
Oct 20252,925
Sept 20252,872
Aug 20252,712
Jul 20253,106
Jun 20253,211
May 20253,065
Apr 20253,485
Mar 20253,356
Feb 20253,554
Jan 20253,525
Dec 20243,825
Nov 20243,306
Oct 20243,165
Sept 20243,194
Aug 20242,988
Jul 20242,862
Jun 20242,817
May 20243,317
Apr 20242,950
Mar 20242,900
Feb 20242,683
Jan 20242,683
Dec 20232,500
Nov 20232,950
Oct 20232,988
Sept 20232,882
Aug 20232,870
Jul 20232,613
Jun 20233,118
May 20233,397
Apr 20233,791
Mar 20233,475
Feb 20232,933
Dec 20222,292
Nov 20222,367
Oct 20221,956
Sept 20221,666
Aug 20221,401
Jul 20221,467
May 20221,690
Apr 20221,900
Mar 20221,215
Feb 20221,233
Jan 20221,167
Oct 20211,200
Apr 20211,618
Mar 20211,581
Feb 20211,425
Jan 20211,325
Dec 20201,648
Nov 20201,747
Oct 20201,633
Sept 20201,447
Aug 20201,352
Jul 20201,214
Jun 20201,189
Mar 20201,290
Feb 20201,180
Jan 20201,214
Dec 20191,276
Nov 20191,275
Oct 20191,267
Aug 20191,141
Jul 20191,250
Jun 20191,200
May 20191,258
Mar 20191,158
Feb 20191,020
Jan 20191,183
Dec 20181,300
Nov 20181,230
Oct 20181,280
Sept 20181,242
Aug 20181,160
Jul 20181,050
Jun 2018967
May 20181,080
Jul 20171,250
Jun 20171,317
May 20171,683
Apr 20171,750
Mar 20171,783
Feb 20171,817
Dec 20161,760
Nov 20161,289
Oct 20161,172
Sept 20161,155
Aug 20161,142
Jul 2016993
Jun 2016985
May 20161,066
Apr 20161,247
Mar 20161,134
Feb 20161,100
Jan 20161,175
Dec 20151,264
Nov 20151,105
Oct 20151,126
Sept 2015922
Aug 2015909
Jul 2015887
Jun 20151,033
May 20151,180
Apr 20151,125
Mar 2015984
Feb 20151,000
Jan 2015993
Dec 20141,025
Nov 20141,167
Oct 20141,367
Sept 20141,200

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2469-829-retail-kg.