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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Giteranyi

Muyinga, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 11% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,459–4,094

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,110–4,026

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 19% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,459 and 4,094 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,110 and 4,026 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Giteranyi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 19% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,459 and 4,094 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,110 and 4,026 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 5,840); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,451–3,231 2,752 2,175–3,905 3,371 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,477–3,604 2,847 2,079–4,638 3,440 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,459–4,094 2,850 2,121–4,935 3,702 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,446–4,246 2,885 2,201–5,689 3,804 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,110–4,026 2,662 1,906–5,840 2,848 –
Price history (119 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,567
Jun 20262,500
May 20263,176
Apr 20263,870
Mar 20262,970
Feb 20262,527
Jan 20262,250
Dec 20252,333
Nov 20252,462
Oct 20252,574
Sept 20252,782
Aug 20252,533
Jul 20252,433
Jun 20252,050
May 20253,250
Apr 20253,368
Mar 20253,131
Feb 20253,325
Jan 20253,294
Dec 20243,455
Nov 20243,454
Oct 20242,996
Sept 20242,594
Aug 20242,325
Jul 20242,211
Jun 20241,950
May 20242,461
Apr 20242,350
Mar 20242,533
Feb 20242,472
Jan 20242,054
Nov 20232,204
Oct 20232,780
Sept 20232,654
Aug 20232,310
Jul 20231,920
Jun 20231,748
May 20233,144
Apr 20233,317
Mar 20233,400
Feb 20232,942
Dec 20222,352
Nov 20222,500
Oct 20221,945
Sept 20221,650
Aug 20221,375
May 20221,450
Apr 20221,500
Mar 2022950
Feb 2022933
Jan 2022775
Oct 20211,100
Apr 20211,183
Mar 20211,117
Feb 20211,150
Jan 2021967
Dec 20201,367
Nov 20201,442
Oct 20201,467
Sept 20201,275
Aug 20201,250
Jul 20201,117
Jun 2020942
Mar 20201,225
Feb 20201,150
Jan 2020888
Dec 20191,164
Nov 20191,186
Oct 20191,176
Aug 2019987
Jul 20191,055
Jun 2019767
May 20191,025
Mar 20191,000
Feb 2019917
Jan 2019817
Dec 20181,060
Nov 2018908
Oct 2018908
Sept 2018840
Aug 2018767
Jul 2018750
Jun 2018679
May 2018650
Sept 2017900
Aug 2017789
Jul 2017800
Jun 2017725
May 2017800
Apr 20171,120
Mar 20171,150
Feb 20171,250
Jan 20171,000
Dec 20161,250
Nov 20161,075
Oct 2016988
Sept 2016900
Aug 2016888
Jul 2016790
Jun 2016625
May 2016642
Apr 2016893
Mar 2016834
Feb 2016900
Jan 2016680
Dec 20151,125
Nov 2015937
Oct 2015842
Sept 2015678
Aug 2015654
Jul 2015600
Jun 2015508
Apr 2015800
Mar 2015678
Feb 2015550
Jan 2015496
Dec 2014566
Nov 2014591
Oct 2014572

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2470-829-retail-kg.