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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Kayanza

Kayanza, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 15% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,795–4,588

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,630–5,046

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

7%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 15% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 37% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,795 and 4,588 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,630 and 5,046 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Kayanza: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 15% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 37% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,795 and 4,588 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,630 and 5,046 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,468); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,826–3,656 3,113 2,612–4,466 3,762 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,736–4,127 3,200 2,410–5,220 3,629 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,795–4,588 3,219 2,419–5,985 3,941 7%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,767–4,932 3,205 2,420–7,468 3,940 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,630–5,046 3,199 2,559–6,973 3,680 –
Price history (122 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,900
Jul 20262,900
Jun 20262,978
May 20264,571
Apr 20265,650
Mar 20263,528
Feb 20263,000
Jan 20262,564
Dec 20252,500
Nov 20252,712
Oct 20252,879
Sept 20252,869
Aug 20252,750
Jul 20252,554
Jun 20252,446
May 20252,559
Apr 20253,350
Mar 20253,601
Feb 20253,399
Jan 20253,636
Dec 20243,749
Nov 20243,572
Oct 20243,200
Sept 20243,062
Aug 20242,895
Jul 20242,750
Jun 20242,279
May 20242,533
Apr 20242,900
Mar 20242,751
Feb 20242,712
Jan 20242,733
Dec 20232,700
Nov 20232,883
Oct 20232,827
Sept 20232,667
Aug 20232,967
Jul 20232,412
Jun 20232,594
May 20233,029
Apr 20233,533
Mar 20233,699
Feb 20233,262
Jan 20233,000
Dec 20222,273
Nov 20222,228
Oct 20221,953
Sept 20221,681
Aug 20221,425
Jul 20221,400
Jun 20221,600
May 20221,746
Apr 20221,867
Mar 20221,200
Feb 20221,075
Jan 20221,200
Oct 20211,067
May 20211,000
Apr 20211,292
Mar 20211,608
Feb 20211,483
Jan 20211,442
Dec 20201,653
Nov 20201,703
Oct 20201,600
Sept 20201,509
Aug 20201,489
Jul 20201,200
Jun 20201,128
Mar 20201,370
Feb 20201,300
Jan 20201,205
Dec 20191,142
Nov 20191,143
Oct 20191,133
Aug 20191,015
Jul 20191,136
Jun 20191,000
May 20191,167
Mar 20191,233
Feb 20191,117
Jan 20191,140
Dec 20181,300
Nov 20181,167
Oct 20181,120
Sept 20181,117
Aug 20181,040
Jul 2018975
Jun 2018983
May 20181,233
Jan 2018800
Sept 2017980
Aug 20171,011
Jul 2017872
May 20171,284
Apr 20171,283
Mar 20171,300
Oct 20161,000
Sept 2016977
Aug 20161,030
Jul 2016795
Jun 2016735
May 20161,010
Apr 20161,063
Mar 20161,018
Feb 20161,167
Jan 20161,329
Dec 20151,273
Nov 2015989
Oct 2015793
Sept 2015696
Aug 2015652
Jul 2015620
Jun 2015604
May 2015840
Apr 2015833
Mar 2015738
Feb 2015621
Jan 2015737
Dec 2014842
Nov 2014747
Oct 2014789

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2471-829-retail-kg.