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Maize (white) in Kinyinya

Ruyigi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 15% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,123–1,820

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,115–1,909

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 15% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,123 and 1,820 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,115 and 1,909 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Kinyinya: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 15% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,123 and 1,820 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,115 and 1,909 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,074–1,431 1,229 980–1,912 1,540 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,096–1,632 1,302 983–2,511 1,685 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,123–1,820 1,335 1,004–2,628 1,816 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,124–1,837 1,367 1,019–2,637 1,876 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,115–1,909 1,390 949–2,487 2,067 –
Price history (119 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,200
Jun 20261,139
May 20261,083
Apr 2026883
Mar 20261,129
Feb 20261,979
Jan 20261,688
Dec 20251,433
Nov 20251,326
Oct 20251,417
Sept 20251,333
Aug 20251,117
Jul 20251,300
Jun 20251,253
May 2025998
Apr 20251,091
Mar 20251,207
Feb 20251,824
Jan 20252,290
Dec 20242,193
Nov 20241,925
Oct 20241,655
Sept 20241,534
Aug 20241,508
Jul 20241,303
Jun 20241,197
May 20241,000
Apr 20241,067
Mar 20241,148
Feb 20241,567
Jan 20241,917
Dec 20231,500
Nov 20231,650
Oct 20231,573
Sept 20231,610
Aug 20231,632
Jul 20231,550
Jun 20231,550
May 20231,250
Apr 20231,275
Mar 20231,632
Feb 20231,912
Jan 20231,800
Dec 20221,436
Nov 20221,706
Oct 20221,612
Sept 20221,156
Aug 20221,030
May 2022850
Apr 2022850
Mar 2022817
Feb 20221,025
Jan 2022900
Oct 20211,050
Sept 2021875
May 2021720
Apr 2021887
Mar 2021976
Feb 2021912
Jan 2021937
Dec 2020790
Nov 2020822
Oct 2020833
Sept 2020764
Aug 2020859
Jul 2020774
Jun 2020839
Mar 2020480
Feb 2020800
Jan 20201,142
Dec 20191,074
Oct 2019874
Aug 2019551
Jul 2019700
May 2019430
Mar 2019680
Feb 2019760
Jan 2019725
Dec 2018700
Nov 2018640
Oct 2018633
Sept 2018675
Aug 2018675
Jul 2018633
Jun 2018650
May 2018543
Jul 2017993
Jun 2017947
Apr 2017835
Mar 2017984
Feb 20171,268
Jan 20171,438
Dec 20161,136
Nov 2016939
Oct 2016740
Sept 2016652
Aug 2016642
Jul 2016630
Jun 2016482
May 2016414
Apr 2016386
Mar 2016475
Feb 2016830
Jan 2016907
Dec 2015841
Nov 2015694
Oct 2015633
Sept 2015574
Aug 2015534
Jul 2015457
Jun 2015423
May 2015421
Apr 2015402
Mar 2015436
Feb 2015468
Jan 2015429
Dec 2014386
Nov 2014417
Oct 2014411

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2472-67-retail-kg.