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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Kinyinya

Ruyigi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 2% above the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,895–4,855

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,768–5,444

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 2% above the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,895 and 4,855 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,768 and 5,444 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Kinyinya: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 2% above the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,895 and 4,855 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,768 and 5,444 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,347); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,805–3,742 3,209 2,534–4,502 3,303 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,818–4,154 3,273 2,383–5,253 3,537 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,895–4,855 3,331 2,361–6,051 4,002 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,914–5,112 3,428 2,363–7,484 4,246 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,768–5,444 3,265 2,277–8,347 3,769 –
Price history (120 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20263,217
Jun 20262,600
May 20263,483
Apr 20263,700
Mar 20262,729
Feb 20262,019
Jan 20262,391
Dec 20252,900
Nov 20252,878
Oct 20252,944
Sept 20252,850
Aug 20252,867
Jul 20253,000
Jun 20252,753
May 20252,418
Apr 20253,030
Mar 20253,121
Feb 20252,883
Jan 20253,311
Dec 20244,333
Nov 20244,109
Oct 20243,758
Sept 20243,264
Aug 20242,963
Jul 20242,890
Jun 20242,603
May 20243,150
Apr 20243,033
Mar 20242,990
Feb 20242,442
Jan 20243,567
Dec 20232,800
Nov 20232,500
Oct 20232,764
Sept 20232,606
Aug 20232,632
Jul 20232,350
Jun 20231,800
May 20233,250
Apr 20233,166
Mar 20232,812
Feb 20232,269
Jan 20232,800
Dec 20222,836
Nov 20222,344
Oct 20221,730
Sept 20221,312
Aug 20221,344
May 20221,417
Apr 20221,300
Mar 2022967
Feb 20221,100
Jan 20221,200
Oct 20211,350
Sept 20211,400
May 20211,367
Apr 20211,252
Mar 20211,211
Feb 20211,000
Jan 20211,547
Dec 20201,682
Nov 20201,804
Oct 20201,633
Sept 20201,617
Aug 20201,500
Jul 20201,202
Jun 20201,095
Mar 20201,050
Feb 2020725
Jan 20201,016
Dec 20191,194
Nov 20191,227
Oct 20191,183
Aug 20191,013
Jul 2019700
May 2019900
Mar 20191,020
Feb 2019870
Jan 20191,242
Dec 20181,343
Nov 20181,320
Oct 20181,200
Sept 20181,050
Aug 20181,050
Jul 20181,050
Jun 20181,083
May 20181,000
Jul 20171,200
Jun 20171,078
Apr 20171,267
Mar 20171,447
Feb 20171,492
Jan 20171,800
Dec 20161,658
Nov 20161,373
Oct 20161,135
Sept 20161,035
Aug 20161,005
Jul 2016889
Jun 2016844
May 2016958
Apr 20161,033
Mar 20161,057
Feb 20161,032
Jan 2016884
Dec 20151,467
Nov 20151,007
Oct 2015888
Sept 2015806
Aug 2015670
Jul 2015597
Jun 2015683
May 2015693
Apr 2015671
Mar 2015652
Feb 2015655
Jan 2015715
Dec 2014840
Nov 2014966
Oct 2014875

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2472-829-retail-kg.