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Maize flour in Kobero

Muyinga, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 22% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,652–2,619

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,536–2,737

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,652 and 2,619 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,536 and 2,737 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Kobero: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,652 and 2,619 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,536 and 2,737 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 6,943); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,621–2,027 1,834 1,488–2,425 2,202 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,613–2,306 1,932 1,492–2,992 2,366 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,652–2,619 1,968 1,401–3,979 2,511 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,642–3,010 2,013 1,369–6,943 2,507 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,536–2,737 1,923 1,330–4,042 2,334 –
Price history (114 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,725
Jun 20261,608
May 20261,769
Apr 20261,667
Mar 20261,627
Feb 20261,825
Jan 20262,033
Dec 20252,000
Nov 20252,000
Oct 20252,058
Sept 20252,000
Aug 20252,060
Jul 20252,250
Jun 20251,933
May 20251,717
Apr 20251,669
Mar 20251,598
Feb 20251,921
Jan 20252,400
Dec 20242,526
Nov 20242,468
Oct 20242,179
Sept 20242,088
Aug 20241,825
Jul 20241,650
Jun 20241,550
May 20241,583
Apr 20241,750
Mar 20241,691
Feb 20241,825
Jan 20241,756
Nov 20232,050
Oct 20232,025
Sept 20232,146
Aug 20232,000
Jul 20233,017
Jun 20231,700
May 20231,794
Apr 20231,812
Mar 20231,842
Feb 20231,658
Dec 20222,000
Nov 20222,041
Oct 20221,925
Sept 20221,775
Aug 20221,600
May 20221,093
Apr 20221,000
Mar 2022972
Feb 20221,025
Jan 20221,200
Oct 20211,200
Apr 2021875
Mar 2021725
Feb 20211,000
Jan 20211,000
Dec 20201,050
Nov 20201,025
Oct 2020900
Sept 2020756
Aug 2020800
Jul 2020758
Jun 2020775
Mar 2020665
Feb 2020667
Jan 20201,262
Dec 20191,240
Oct 20191,100
Aug 2019920
Jul 20191,009
Jun 2019600
May 2019660
Mar 2019583
Feb 2019900
Jan 2019767
Dec 2018783
Nov 2018775
Oct 2018600
Sept 2018620
Aug 2018670
Jul 2018670
Jun 2018620
May 2018640
Aug 20171,300
Jul 20171,300
Jun 20171,300
May 20171,300
Apr 20171,233
Mar 20171,204
Feb 20171,400
Oct 20161,000
Aug 2016867
Jul 2016800
Jun 2016628
May 2016633
Apr 2016595
Mar 2016692
Feb 2016811
Jan 20161,000
Dec 2015900
Nov 2015850
Oct 2015700
Sept 2015600
Aug 2015600
Jul 2015600
Jun 2015550
May 2015507
Apr 2015500
Mar 2015460
Feb 20151,000
Jan 20151,000
Dec 20141,042
Nov 20141,200
Oct 20141,150

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2473-76-retail-kg.