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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Kobero

Muyinga, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 11% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,683–4,638

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,289–4,738

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

8%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 19% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,683 and 4,638 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,289 and 4,738 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Kobero: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 19% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,683 and 4,638 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,289 and 4,738 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,234); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,672–3,673 3,031 2,415–4,625 3,670 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,702–4,224 3,135 2,334–5,247 3,721 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,683–4,638 3,104 2,367–6,104 3,782 8%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,660–4,941 3,136 2,398–8,234 3,928 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,289–4,738 2,973 2,073–8,141 3,100 –
Price history (116 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,875
Jun 20262,625
May 20263,552
Apr 20264,417
Mar 20262,809
Feb 20262,875
Jan 20262,667
Dec 20252,500
Nov 20252,636
Oct 20252,875
Sept 20252,709
Aug 20252,500
Jul 20252,750
Jun 20252,717
May 20253,417
Apr 20253,435
Mar 20253,441
Feb 20253,017
Jan 20253,637
Dec 20243,689
Nov 20243,441
Oct 20243,169
Sept 20242,912
Aug 20242,725
Jul 20242,275
Jun 20242,275
May 20242,300
Apr 20242,425
Mar 20242,253
Feb 20242,241
Jan 20242,233
Nov 20232,350
Oct 20232,975
Sept 20232,638
Aug 20232,450
Jul 20232,050
Jun 20231,950
May 20233,211
Apr 20233,462
Mar 20233,133
Feb 20232,817
Dec 20222,073
Nov 20222,200
Oct 20221,950
Sept 20221,675
Aug 20221,400
May 20221,660
Apr 20221,746
Mar 20221,042
Feb 2022938
Jan 2022800
Oct 2021950
Apr 20211,025
Mar 20211,000
Feb 20211,183
Jan 20211,000
Dec 20201,500
Nov 20201,483
Oct 20201,500
Sept 20201,397
Aug 20201,250
Jul 20201,150
Jun 2020962
Mar 20201,193
Feb 2020950
Jan 20201,112
Dec 20191,200
Nov 20191,124
Oct 20191,112
Aug 2019980
Jul 20191,082
Jun 2019733
May 2019980
Mar 2019900
Feb 20191,050
Jan 2019792
Dec 20181,133
Nov 2018925
Oct 2018933
Sept 2018820
Aug 2018790
Jul 2018742
Jun 2018710
May 2018720
Aug 2017850
Jul 2017800
Jun 2017800
May 2017900
Apr 20171,175
Mar 20171,175
Feb 20171,300
Oct 20161,000
Sept 2016900
Aug 2016883
Jul 2016797
Jun 2016621
May 2016700
Apr 2016794
Mar 2016866
Feb 2016867
Jan 2016720
Dec 20151,242
Nov 2015920
Oct 2015742
Sept 2015592
Aug 2015630
Jul 2015554
Jun 2015521
May 2015673
Apr 2015717
Mar 2015607
Feb 2015468
Jan 2015461
Dec 2014589
Nov 2014642
Oct 2014700

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2473-829-retail-kg.