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Maize (white) in Makamba

Makamba, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 17% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,434–2,080

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,373–2,318

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 17% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,434 and 2,080 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,373 and 2,318 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Makamba: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 17% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,434 and 2,080 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,373 and 2,318 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 3,361); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,371–1,711 1,541 1,292–2,045 2,009 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,391–1,954 1,614 1,271–2,482 2,135 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,434–2,080 1,684 1,245–2,378 2,353 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,424–2,133 1,719 1,193–2,557 2,440 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,373–2,318 1,689 1,174–3,361 2,317 –
Price history (126 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,500
Jun 20261,400
May 20261,346
Apr 20261,400
Mar 20261,580
Feb 20262,129
Jan 20262,044
Dec 20251,800
Nov 20251,826
Oct 20251,751
Sept 20251,534
Aug 20251,500
Jul 20251,482
Jun 20251,448
May 20251,356
Apr 20251,481
Mar 20251,335
Feb 20252,018
Jan 20252,611
Dec 20242,655
Nov 20242,277
Oct 20242,122
Sept 20241,912
Aug 20241,779
Jul 20241,604
Jun 20241,500
May 20241,333
Apr 20241,450
Mar 20241,532
Feb 20241,664
Jan 20241,806
Dec 20231,867
Nov 20231,900
Oct 20231,871
Sept 20231,900
Aug 20231,822
Jul 20231,768
Jun 20231,611
May 20231,732
Apr 20231,533
Mar 20232,073
Feb 20232,188
Dec 20222,176
Nov 20222,110
Oct 20221,808
Sept 20221,556
Aug 20221,456
Jul 20221,425
Jun 20221,100
May 20221,172
Apr 2022917
Mar 2022975
Feb 20221,282
Jan 20221,300
Oct 20211,075
May 2021733
Apr 2021757
Mar 2021800
Feb 20211,067
Jan 20211,017
Dec 2020975
Nov 20201,017
Oct 2020900
Sept 2020891
Aug 2020830
Jul 2020771
Jun 2020767
Mar 2020683
Feb 20201,017
Jan 20201,400
Dec 20191,350
Oct 20191,097
Aug 2019800
Jul 20191,017
Jun 2019600
May 2019583
Mar 2019525
Feb 2019600
Jan 2019825
Dec 2018843
Nov 2018733
Oct 2018680
Sept 2018600
Aug 2018586
Jul 2018600
Jun 2018600
May 2018560
Jan 2018900
Nov 20171,225
Oct 20171,244
Sept 20171,175
Aug 20171,175
Jul 20171,113
Jun 20171,142
May 20171,075
Apr 20171,000
Mar 20171,050
Feb 20171,317
Jan 20171,300
Dec 20161,316
Nov 20161,158
Oct 20161,079
Sept 2016913
Aug 2016804
Jul 2016740
Jun 2016638
May 2016603
Apr 2016596
Mar 2016742
Feb 2016889
Jan 2016900
Dec 2015933
Nov 2015893
Oct 2015744
Sept 2015688
Aug 2015627
Jul 2015575
Jun 2015575
May 2015490
Apr 2015462
Mar 2015449
Feb 2015542
Jan 2015579
Dec 2014575
Nov 2014782
Oct 2014652

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2474-67-retail-kg.