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Maize flour in Makamba

Makamba, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 11% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,967–2,603

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,869–2,762

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,967 and 2,603 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,869 and 2,762 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Makamba: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,967 and 2,603 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,869 and 2,762 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,916–2,215 2,007 1,834–2,564 2,482 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,929–2,394 2,091 1,808–2,763 2,532 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,967–2,603 2,194 1,756–2,999 2,811 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,967–2,691 2,263 1,721–3,147 2,946 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,869–2,762 2,191 1,651–3,582 2,823 –
Price history (126 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,000
Jun 20261,833
May 20261,967
Apr 20262,000
Mar 20262,333
Feb 20262,500
Jan 20262,429
Dec 20252,200
Nov 20252,219
Oct 20252,110
Sept 20252,000
Aug 20252,000
Jul 20251,918
Jun 20251,994
May 20251,935
Apr 20251,988
Mar 20252,081
Feb 20252,844
Jan 20252,972
Dec 20243,024
Nov 20242,619
Oct 20242,412
Sept 20242,205
Aug 20242,033
Jul 20241,973
Jun 20241,800
May 20241,767
Apr 20241,800
Mar 20241,973
Feb 20242,013
Jan 20242,044
Dec 20232,183
Nov 20232,150
Oct 20232,200
Sept 20232,200
Aug 20232,017
Jul 20232,000
Jun 20232,000
May 20232,165
Apr 20232,044
Mar 20232,376
Feb 20232,406
Dec 20222,388
Nov 20222,285
Oct 20222,064
Sept 20221,781
Aug 20221,656
Jul 20221,600
Jun 20221,400
May 20221,320
Apr 20221,200
Mar 20221,300
Feb 20221,500
Jan 20221,500
Oct 20211,250
May 20211,000
Apr 2021928
Mar 20211,019
Feb 20211,250
Jan 20211,200
Dec 20201,175
Nov 20201,189
Oct 20201,000
Sept 20201,091
Aug 20201,000
Jul 2020981
Jun 20201,000
Mar 2020917
Feb 20201,183
Jan 20201,467
Dec 20191,517
Oct 20191,180
Aug 2019967
Jul 20191,025
Jun 2019700
May 2019700
Mar 2019750
Feb 2019800
Jan 2019958
Dec 2018986
Nov 2018850
Oct 2018800
Sept 2018742
Aug 2018736
Jul 2018750
Jun 2018771
May 2018780
Jan 20181,200
Nov 20171,321
Oct 20171,333
Sept 20171,284
Aug 20171,279
Jul 20171,260
Jun 20171,300
May 20171,284
Apr 20171,180
Mar 20171,258
Feb 20171,534
Jan 20171,400
Dec 20161,421
Nov 20161,275
Oct 20161,092
Sept 20161,000
Aug 2016925
Jul 2016793
Jun 2016721
May 2016700
Apr 2016712
Mar 2016992
Feb 20161,011
Jan 20161,000
Dec 20151,017
Nov 2015953
Oct 2015800
Sept 2015729
Aug 2015729
Jul 2015679
Jun 2015662
May 2015600
Apr 2015600
Mar 2015640
Feb 2015684
Jan 2015700
Dec 2014700
Nov 2014700
Oct 2014696

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2474-76-retail-kg.