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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Makamba

Makamba, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 1% above the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,828–4,349

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,608–5,264

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

5%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was at the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 31% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,828 and 4,349 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,608 and 5,264 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 5%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Makamba: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was at the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 31% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,828 and 4,349 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,608 and 5,264 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 5%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,877); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,808–3,576 3,075 2,506–4,317 3,384 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,801–3,915 3,154 2,371–5,094 3,366 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,828–4,349 3,184 2,311–5,365 3,777 5%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,803–4,811 3,252 2,316–7,102 3,885 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,608–5,264 3,133 2,251–8,877 3,393 –
Price history (127 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20263,000
Jun 20262,956
May 20264,329
Apr 20265,000
Mar 20263,138
Feb 20262,790
Jan 20262,500
Dec 20252,710
Nov 20252,759
Oct 20252,702
Sept 20252,544
Aug 20252,600
Jul 20252,454
Jun 20252,719
May 20253,024
Apr 20253,350
Mar 20253,408
Feb 20253,390
Jan 20253,358
Dec 20243,548
Nov 20243,440
Oct 20243,196
Sept 20242,994
Aug 20242,638
Jul 20242,576
Jun 20242,422
May 20242,842
Apr 20243,200
Mar 20243,308
Feb 20243,085
Jan 20242,789
Dec 20232,733
Nov 20232,600
Oct 20232,738
Sept 20232,749
Aug 20232,491
Jul 20232,257
Jun 20232,417
May 20233,288
Apr 20233,461
Mar 20233,216
Feb 20232,781
Dec 20222,348
Nov 20222,165
Oct 20221,776
Sept 20221,523
Aug 20221,400
Jul 20221,300
Jun 20221,300
May 20221,553
Apr 20221,633
Mar 20221,100
Feb 20221,182
Jan 20221,200
Oct 20211,325
May 20211,400
Apr 20211,512
Mar 20211,602
Feb 20211,383
Jan 20211,400
Dec 20201,725
Nov 20201,681
Oct 20201,500
Sept 20201,459
Aug 20201,267
Jul 20201,161
Jun 20201,100
Mar 20201,533
Feb 20201,267
Jan 20201,167
Dec 20191,117
Nov 20191,200
Oct 20191,113
Aug 2019933
Jul 20191,100
Jun 2019667
May 20191,117
Mar 20191,100
Feb 2019983
Jan 20191,233
Dec 20181,271
Nov 20181,200
Oct 20181,140
Sept 20181,067
Aug 20181,043
Jul 2018960
Jun 2018843
May 20181,080
Jan 2018800
Nov 20171,333
Oct 20171,267
Sept 20171,142
Aug 20171,092
Jul 20171,040
Jun 2017950
May 20171,033
Apr 20171,407
Mar 20171,633
Feb 20171,875
Jan 20171,600
Dec 20161,558
Nov 20161,258
Oct 20161,000
Sept 20161,058
Aug 20161,067
Jul 2016887
Jun 2016825
May 20161,020
Apr 20161,242
Mar 20161,208
Feb 20161,100
Jan 20161,180
Dec 20151,317
Nov 20151,053
Oct 2015900
Sept 2015808
Aug 2015707
Jul 2015621
Jun 2015608
May 2015767
Apr 2015825
Mar 2015830
Feb 2015784
Jan 2015833
Dec 2014900
Nov 2014889
Oct 2014961

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2474-829-retail-kg.