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Food basket in Makamba

Makamba, Burundi · BIF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 L Oil (palm).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

27,227–36,258

BIF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

27,191–43,256

BIF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 29,610 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 27,227 and 36,258 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 27,191 and 43,256 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Makamba: BIF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 29,610 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 27,227 and 36,258 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 27,191 and 43,256 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.020,00040,00060,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

BIF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 56,115); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 27,540–32,569 29,751 26,241–33,814
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 27,214–33,785 29,840 25,485–37,386
Nov 2026
Next month		 27,227–36,258 30,237 25,880–40,847
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 27,011–38,420 31,091 25,350–45,379
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 27,191–43,256 31,963 25,095–56,115
Cost history (88 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (BIF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 202629,610
Jun 202629,607
May 202633,056
Apr 202634,410
Mar 202635,210
Feb 202632,661
Jan 202631,196
Dec 202528,881
Nov 202529,520
Oct 202529,324
Sept 202529,867
Aug 202529,580
Jul 202530,802
Jun 202533,439
May 202534,391
Apr 202534,910
Mar 202531,270
Feb 202530,497
Jan 202529,968
Dec 202429,430
Nov 202428,984
Oct 202427,698
Sept 202426,513
Aug 202426,191
Jul 202426,873
Jun 202428,034
May 202428,993
Apr 202431,396
Mar 202432,451
Feb 202431,700
Jan 202428,053
Dec 202332,030
Nov 202330,675
Oct 202330,780
Sept 202331,393
Aug 202329,248
Jul 202329,763
Jun 202330,623
May 202334,240
Apr 202335,813
Mar 202335,329
Feb 202331,095
Dec 202224,793
Nov 202223,039
Oct 202219,835
Sept 202219,470
Aug 202218,977
Jul 202218,990
Jun 202218,990
May 202219,500
Apr 202218,946
Mar 202219,226
Feb 202218,329
Jan 202217,945
Oct 202116,234
May 202115,937
Apr 202116,034
Mar 202115,380
Feb 202114,934
Jan 202115,130
Dec 202015,008
Nov 202014,337
Oct 202012,480
Sept 202012,086
Aug 202011,444
Jul 202011,432
Jun 202010,836
Mar 202012,128
Feb 202010,924
Jan 202010,956
Dec 201910,720
Oct 20199,333
Aug 20199,089
Jul 20199,912
Jun 20199,932
May 20199,681
Mar 20199,944
Feb 20199,311
Jan 201910,077
Dec 201810,506
Nov 20189,960
Oct 20188,975
Sept 201810,002
Aug 201810,251
Jul 201811,146
Jun 201812,485
May 201812,341
Jan 201814,889

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burundi

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 81% 94% 5% 1,874
Estimate (this month) 79% 93% 8% 1,810
Next month 78% 92% 10% 1,746
In 2 months 77% 91% 11% 1,683
In 3 months 78% 91% 13% 1,620