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Maize (white) in Matana

Bururi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 19% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,556–2,253

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,519–2,362

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 12% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,556 and 2,253 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,519 and 2,362 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Matana: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 12% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,556 and 2,253 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,519 and 2,362 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,501–1,948 1,706 1,364–2,158 2,209 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,490–2,057 1,741 1,303–2,287 2,208 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,556–2,253 1,826 1,370–2,670 2,508 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,558–2,344 1,915 1,392–2,576 2,691 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,519–2,362 1,880 1,343–2,721 2,624 –
Price history (125 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,685
Jul 20261,550
Jun 20261,560
May 20261,500
Apr 20261,483
Mar 20262,150
Feb 20262,174
Jan 20262,222
Dec 20252,041
Nov 20251,973
Oct 20251,958
Sept 20251,750
Aug 20251,783
Jul 20251,667
Jun 20251,607
May 20251,494
Apr 20251,700
Mar 20251,642
Feb 20252,350
Jan 20252,751
Dec 20243,004
Nov 20242,585
Oct 20242,224
Sept 20242,187
Aug 20241,946
Jul 20241,725
Jun 20241,538
May 20241,771
Apr 20241,600
Mar 20241,604
Feb 20241,739
Jan 20241,911
Dec 20231,867
Nov 20231,900
Oct 20231,938
Sept 20231,967
Aug 20231,927
Jul 20231,993
Jun 20231,797
May 20231,536
Apr 20231,617
Mar 20231,992
Feb 20232,125
Jan 20232,100
Dec 20222,064
Nov 20222,058
Oct 20221,831
Sept 20221,700
Aug 20221,575
Jul 20221,400
Jun 20221,100
May 20221,100
Apr 2022800
Mar 20221,050
Feb 20221,223
Jan 20221,250
Oct 20211,000
Sept 2021988
May 2021767
Apr 2021754
Mar 2021900
Feb 20211,000
Jan 20211,000
Dec 2020993
Nov 20201,000
Oct 2020950
Sept 2020929
Aug 2020894
Jul 2020838
Jun 2020875
Mar 2020633
Feb 20201,140
Jan 20201,367
Dec 20191,354
Oct 20191,027
Aug 2019873
Jul 20191,026
Jun 2019650
May 2019633
Mar 2019830
Feb 2019708
Jan 2019842
Dec 2018833
Nov 2018727
Oct 2018650
Sept 2018650
Aug 2018650
Jul 2018617
Jun 2018583
May 2018560
Sept 20171,122
Aug 20171,200
Jul 20171,067
Jun 20171,108
Apr 2017917
Mar 20171,279
Feb 20171,512
Jan 20171,267
Dec 20161,339
Nov 20161,166
Oct 2016964
Sept 2016896
Aug 2016862
Jul 2016743
Jun 2016608
May 2016601
Apr 2016582
Mar 2016687
Feb 2016842
Jan 2016899
Dec 2015921
Nov 2015832
Oct 2015689
Sept 2015669
Aug 2015655
Jul 2015604
Jun 2015638
May 2015653
Apr 2015504
Mar 2015522
Feb 2015527
Jan 2015692
Dec 2014598
Nov 2014786
Oct 2014572

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2475-67-retail-kg.