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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Matana

Bururi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 3% above the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,709–4,024

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,606–4,591

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

5%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 3% above the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 40% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,709 and 4,024 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,606 and 4,591 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 5%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Matana: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 3% above the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 40% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,709 and 4,024 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,606 and 4,591 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 5%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,095); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,616–3,271 2,841 2,359–3,781 3,001 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,644–3,645 2,925 2,252–4,441 3,102 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,709–4,024 3,052 2,280–5,342 3,645 5%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,641–4,354 3,051 2,216–7,095 3,797 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,606–4,591 3,080 2,139–6,454 3,691 –
Price history (126 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,752
Jul 20262,875
Jun 20262,896
May 20264,625
Apr 20264,250
Mar 20262,953
Feb 20262,740
Jan 20262,582
Dec 20252,815
Nov 20252,927
Oct 20252,689
Sept 20252,583
Aug 20252,517
Jul 20252,333
Jun 20252,413
May 20252,714
Apr 20253,040
Mar 20253,181
Feb 20253,495
Jan 20253,365
Dec 20243,356
Nov 20243,162
Oct 20242,888
Sept 20242,650
Aug 20242,327
Jul 20242,225
Jun 20242,194
May 20242,529
Apr 20242,650
Mar 20242,507
Feb 20243,025
Jan 20242,622
Dec 20232,800
Nov 20232,867
Oct 20232,724
Sept 20232,581
Aug 20232,567
Jul 20232,277
Jun 20232,000
May 20232,904
Apr 20233,550
Mar 20233,417
Feb 20232,975
Jan 20232,933
Dec 20222,142
Nov 20222,100
Oct 20221,675
Sept 20221,442
Aug 20221,300
Jul 20221,200
Jun 20221,300
May 20221,728
Apr 20221,400
Mar 20221,150
Feb 20221,192
Jan 20221,388
Oct 20211,200
Sept 20211,125
May 20211,417
Apr 20211,515
Mar 20211,600
Feb 20211,600
Jan 20211,450
Dec 20201,683
Nov 20201,583
Oct 20201,200
Sept 20201,296
Aug 20201,072
Jul 20201,025
Jun 20201,100
Mar 20201,200
Feb 20201,120
Jan 20201,122
Dec 20191,078
Nov 20191,033
Oct 20191,064
Aug 2019822
Jul 2019985
Jun 2019850
May 20191,225
Mar 20191,140
Feb 2019975
Jan 20191,258
Dec 20181,242
Nov 20181,117
Oct 2018975
Sept 2018900
Aug 2018825
Jul 2018842
Jun 2018933
May 2018990
Sept 20171,022
Aug 2017933
Jul 2017894
Jun 2017900
Apr 20171,417
Mar 20171,650
Feb 20171,888
Jan 20171,533
Dec 20161,500
Nov 20161,358
Oct 20161,150
Sept 20161,017
Aug 2016975
Jul 2016907
Jun 2016758
May 20161,027
Apr 20161,100
Mar 20161,100
Feb 20161,083
Jan 20161,190
Dec 20151,162
Nov 20151,027
Oct 2015900
Sept 2015792
Aug 2015780
Jul 2015628
Jun 2015608
May 2015867
Apr 2015875
Mar 2015883
Feb 2015880
Jan 2015834
Dec 2014841
Nov 2014894
Oct 2014892

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2475-829-retail-kg.