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Food basket in Matana

Bururi, Burundi · BIF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 L Oil (palm).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

27,881–38,060

BIF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

28,333–41,056

BIF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 30,478 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 27,881 and 38,060 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 28,333 and 41,056 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Matana: BIF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 30,478 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 27,881 and 38,060 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 28,333 and 41,056 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.020,00040,00060,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

BIF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 28,862–34,185 31,333 27,331–35,790
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 27,910–35,590 31,170 25,321–40,139
Nov 2026
Next month		 27,881–38,060 32,143 25,649–41,994
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 27,889–40,137 32,389 24,927–47,515
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 28,333–41,056 33,356 25,438–45,093
Cost history (90 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (BIF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 202630,478
Jul 202631,440
Jun 202633,649
May 202635,922
Apr 202632,890
Mar 202630,566
Feb 202631,940
Jan 202631,647
Dec 202531,839
Nov 202531,192
Oct 202531,438
Sept 202531,320
Aug 202532,465
Jul 202532,880
Jun 202532,290
May 202530,048
Apr 202533,849
Mar 202531,764
Feb 202530,385
Jan 202529,290
Dec 202428,968
Nov 202427,832
Oct 202427,338
Sept 202432,573
Aug 202431,473
Jul 202432,835
Jun 202434,865
May 202433,498
Apr 202432,824
Mar 202432,878
Feb 202439,481
Jan 202436,747
Dec 202335,695
Nov 202333,985
Oct 202333,962
Sept 202332,112
Aug 202333,319
Jul 202337,074
Jun 202334,904
May 202336,216
Apr 202335,612
Mar 202336,804
Feb 202333,534
Jan 202330,054
Dec 202225,980
Nov 202226,159
Oct 202224,771
Sept 202225,101
Aug 202224,045
Jul 202227,210
Jun 202222,755
May 202223,058
Apr 202222,935
Mar 202222,485
Feb 202222,216
Jan 202222,568
Oct 202114,175
Sept 202118,068
May 202116,013
Apr 202116,459
Mar 202115,988
Feb 202115,388
Jan 202114,016
Dec 202013,674
Nov 202012,923
Oct 202011,940
Sept 202012,208
Aug 202011,923
Jul 202011,865
Jun 202011,419
Mar 202012,402
Feb 202012,460
Jan 202011,769
Dec 201911,441
Oct 20199,908
Aug 20199,633
Jul 20199,802
Jun 201910,124
May 201912,348
Mar 201911,051
Feb 201910,943
Jan 201910,745
Dec 201810,615
Nov 201810,848
Oct 20189,935
Sept 20189,938
Aug 201810,196
Jul 201812,332
Jun 201811,886
May 201814,986

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burundi

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 81% 94% 5% 1,874
Estimate (this month) 79% 93% 8% 1,810
Next month 78% 92% 10% 1,746
In 2 months 77% 91% 11% 1,683
In 3 months 78% 91% 13% 1,620