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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Mihigo

Ngozi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 2% above the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,735–4,554

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,454–4,732

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

13%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 2% above the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 31% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,735 and 4,554 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,454 and 4,732 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 13%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Mihigo: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 2% above the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 31% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,735 and 4,554 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,454 and 4,732 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 13%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,733); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,770–3,538 3,037 2,471–4,393 3,280 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,679–3,894 3,070 2,270–5,118 3,233 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,735–4,554 3,061 2,172–5,869 3,498 13%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,709–4,728 3,087 2,179–7,733 3,530 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,454–4,732 2,996 2,218–7,414 3,015 –
Price history (122 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,950
Jun 20262,500
May 20264,300
Apr 20265,000
Mar 20263,231
Feb 20262,981
Jan 20262,392
Dec 20252,350
Nov 20252,409
Oct 20252,688
Sept 20252,611
Aug 20252,500
Jul 20252,431
Jun 20252,187
May 20252,567
Apr 20252,896
Mar 20253,500
Feb 20253,262
Jan 20253,229
Dec 20243,536
Nov 20243,303
Oct 20242,898
Sept 20242,683
Aug 20242,565
Jul 20242,400
Jun 20242,389
May 20242,377
Apr 20242,500
Mar 20242,533
Feb 20242,533
Jan 20242,300
Nov 20232,763
Oct 20232,589
Sept 20232,483
Aug 20232,450
Jul 20232,262
Jun 20231,950
May 20232,817
Apr 20233,433
Mar 20233,353
Feb 20233,150
Dec 20222,221
Nov 20222,200
Oct 20221,852
Sept 20221,656
Aug 20221,383
May 20221,973
Apr 20221,573
Mar 20221,135
Feb 20221,188
Jan 20221,000
Oct 20211,200
May 20211,133
Apr 20211,256
Mar 20211,417
Feb 20211,433
Jan 20211,239
Dec 20201,500
Nov 20201,550
Sept 20201,500
Aug 20201,367
Jul 20201,225
Jun 20201,048
Mar 20201,313
Feb 20201,233
Jan 20201,029
Dec 20191,162
Nov 20191,100
Oct 20191,123
Aug 20191,030
Jul 20191,100
Jun 20191,033
May 20191,217
Mar 20191,167
Feb 20191,083
Jan 20191,033
Dec 20181,150
Nov 20181,150
Oct 20181,129
Sept 20181,067
Aug 2018958
Jul 2018960
Jun 2018933
May 20181,000
Nov 20171,125
Oct 20171,200
Sept 20171,200
Aug 20171,050
Jul 20171,000
Jun 2017925
May 20171,050
Apr 20171,325
Mar 20171,350
Feb 20171,400
Jan 20171,400
Dec 20161,475
Nov 20161,275
Oct 20161,117
Sept 20161,025
Aug 20161,025
Jul 2016960
Jun 2016733
May 2016790
Apr 2016975
Mar 20161,000
Feb 20161,008
Jan 2016820
Dec 20151,266
Nov 20151,020
Oct 2015888
Sept 2015792
Aug 2015720
Jul 2015658
Jun 2015688
May 2015927
Apr 2015779
Mar 2015657
Feb 2015538
Jan 2015522
Dec 2014683
Nov 2014725
Oct 2014750

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2476-829-retail-kg.