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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Mukenke

Kirundo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Stress August 2026: 9% above the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,533–4,335

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,850–4,352

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

12%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 9% above the usual level for that time of year (stress). It fell 21% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,533 and 4,335 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,850 and 4,352 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 12%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Mukenke: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 9% above the usual level for that time of year (stress). It fell 21% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,533 and 4,335 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,850 and 4,352 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 12%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 10,102); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,524–3,471 2,862 2,202–4,310 3,018 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,471–3,728 2,879 2,078–4,701 2,941 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,533–4,335 2,851 1,974–5,772 3,185 12%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,520–4,542 2,876 1,930–6,710 3,279 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,850–4,352 2,279 1,657–10,102 2,339 –
Price history (120 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,850
Jun 20262,375
May 20263,625
Apr 20265,000
Mar 20262,675
Feb 20262,231
Jan 20262,111
Dec 20252,500
Nov 20252,019
Oct 20252,385
Sept 20252,539
Aug 20252,333
Jul 20252,275
Jun 20252,019
May 20252,376
Apr 20252,470
Mar 20252,485
Feb 20252,500
Jan 20252,117
Dec 20243,747
Nov 20243,067
Oct 20242,982
Sept 20242,526
Aug 20242,282
Jul 20242,067
Jun 20241,904
May 20241,847
Apr 20242,050
Mar 20241,761
Feb 20241,694
Jan 20241,567
Dec 20231,622
Nov 20232,200
Oct 20232,473
Sept 20232,554
Aug 20232,254
Jul 20231,945
Jun 20231,749
May 20232,743
Apr 20233,259
Mar 20233,167
Feb 20232,906
Dec 20221,877
Nov 20221,949
Oct 20221,620
Sept 20221,341
Aug 20221,200
Jul 20221,012
May 20221,283
Apr 20221,467
Mar 2022835
Feb 2022750
Jan 2022691
Oct 20211,000
Jun 2021750
Apr 2021883
Mar 20211,000
Feb 20211,075
Jan 2021884
Dec 20201,142
Nov 20201,333
Oct 20201,200
Sept 20201,215
Aug 20201,179
Jul 20201,134
Jun 2020917
Mar 20201,053
Feb 2020925
Jan 2020793
Dec 20191,020
Nov 20191,008
Oct 2019983
Aug 2019886
Jul 20191,039
Jun 2019700
May 2019970
Mar 2019920
Feb 2019925
Jan 2019760
Dec 20181,150
Nov 2018925
Oct 2018848
Sept 2018842
Aug 2018778
Jul 2018733
Jun 2018750
May 2018725
Jun 2017825
May 2017800
Apr 20171,033
Mar 20171,125
Feb 20171,150
Jan 20171,167
Dec 20161,342
Nov 20161,234
Oct 20161,125
Sept 20161,008
Aug 2016975
Jul 2016900
Jun 2016762
May 2016750
Apr 20161,017
Mar 20161,017
Feb 2016933
Jan 2016680
Dec 20151,400
Nov 20151,133
Oct 2015871
Sept 2015838
Aug 2015750
Jul 2015600
Jun 2015625
May 2015753
Apr 2015784
Mar 2015683
Feb 2015600
Jan 2015529
Dec 2014628
Nov 2014767
Oct 2014704

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2477-829-retail-kg.