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Maize (white) in Muyange

Makamba, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 24% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,505–2,230

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,446–2,226

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 24% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 5% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,505 and 2,230 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,446 and 2,226 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Muyange: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 24% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 5% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,505 and 2,230 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,446 and 2,226 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,476–1,822 1,607 1,376–1,895 2,125 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,474–1,990 1,686 1,362–2,106 2,238 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,505–2,230 1,768 1,332–2,810 2,510 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,517–2,316 1,806 1,335–2,516 2,653 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,446–2,226 1,729 1,289–2,259 2,403 –
Price history (121 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,500
Jul 20261,500
Jun 20261,550
May 20261,578
Apr 20261,600
Mar 20261,742
Feb 20262,154
Jan 20262,233
Dec 20251,900
Nov 20251,912
Oct 20251,869
Sept 20251,722
Aug 20251,732
Jul 20251,809
Jun 20251,709
May 20251,563
Apr 20251,662
Mar 20251,569
Feb 20252,232
Jan 20252,742
Dec 20242,602
Nov 20242,233
Oct 20242,123
Sept 20242,050
Aug 20241,883
Jul 20241,732
Jun 20241,533
May 20241,375
Apr 20241,500
Mar 20241,690
Feb 20241,794
Jan 20241,800
Dec 20231,883
Nov 20231,850
Oct 20232,161
Sept 20231,967
Aug 20231,872
Jul 20231,800
Jun 20231,761
May 20231,765
Apr 20231,767
Mar 20232,129
Feb 20231,873
Dec 20222,124
Nov 20222,365
Oct 20221,875
Sept 20221,592
Aug 20221,466
Jul 20221,350
May 20221,070
Apr 20221,000
Mar 20221,078
Feb 20221,219
Jan 20221,300
Oct 20211,067
May 2021800
Apr 2021761
Mar 2021894
Feb 2021967
Jan 20211,033
Dec 20201,133
Nov 20201,006
Oct 2020900
Sept 2020891
Aug 2020859
Jul 2020810
Jun 2020767
Mar 20201,296
Feb 2020700Data error
Jan 20201,283
Dec 20191,254
Oct 20191,067
Aug 2019809
Jul 2019938
Jun 2019667
May 2019650
Mar 2019600
Feb 2019640
Jan 2019858
Dec 2018925
Nov 2018780
Oct 2018700
Sept 2018650
Aug 2018650
Jul 2018633
Jun 2018625
May 2018575
Aug 20171,133
Jul 20171,100
Jun 20171,040
May 20171,008
Apr 2017925
Mar 20171,013
Feb 20171,300
Dec 20161,300
Nov 20161,225
Oct 20161,000
Sept 2016875
Aug 2016792
Jul 2016677
Jun 2016650
May 2016581
Apr 2016519
Mar 2016554
Feb 2016771
Jan 2016917
Dec 2015975
Nov 20151,071
Oct 2015793
Sept 2015583
Aug 2015530
Jul 2015485
Jun 2015497
May 2015377
Apr 2015348
Mar 2015398
Feb 2015502
Jan 2015547
Dec 2014618
Nov 2014773
Oct 2014822

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2478-67-retail-kg.