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Maize flour in Muyange

Makamba, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 17% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,925–2,698

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,826–2,715

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 17% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 14% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,925 and 2,698 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,826 and 2,715 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Muyange: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 17% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 14% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,925 and 2,698 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,826 and 2,715 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,869–2,279 2,022 1,723–2,571 2,524 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,870–2,463 2,106 1,713–2,623 2,576 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,925–2,698 2,187 1,748–3,127 2,901 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,910–2,719 2,254 1,764–2,874 3,041 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,826–2,715 2,163 1,647–2,772 2,794 –
Price history (121 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,956
Jul 20261,800
Jun 20262,275
May 20262,267
Apr 20262,450
Mar 20262,260
Feb 20262,554
Jan 20262,600
Dec 20252,500
Nov 20252,348
Oct 20252,291
Sept 20252,000
Aug 20252,018
Jul 20252,036
Jun 20252,047
May 20252,071
Apr 20252,233
Mar 20252,108
Feb 20252,850
Jan 20253,059
Dec 20242,909
Nov 20242,783
Oct 20242,458
Sept 20242,389
Aug 20242,175
Jul 20241,982
Jun 20241,867
May 20241,958
Apr 20242,000
Mar 20242,055
Feb 20242,078
Jan 20242,111
Dec 20232,183
Nov 20232,200
Oct 20232,251
Sept 20232,267
Aug 20232,133
Jul 20232,056
Jun 20231,978
May 20232,040
Apr 20232,167
Mar 20232,455
Feb 20232,216
Dec 20222,421
Nov 20222,610
Oct 20222,077
Sept 20221,779
Aug 20221,710
Jul 20221,550
May 20221,296
Apr 20221,233
Mar 20221,381
Feb 20221,462
Jan 20221,500
Oct 20211,233
May 20211,000
Apr 20211,000
Mar 20211,067
Feb 20211,150
Jan 20211,217
Dec 20201,267
Nov 20201,172
Oct 20201,000
Sept 20201,048
Aug 20201,007
Jul 20201,000
Jun 20201,011
Mar 20201,056
Feb 2020960
Jan 20201,462
Dec 20191,465
Oct 20191,212
Aug 2019965
Jul 20191,090
Jun 2019833
May 2019917
Mar 2019983
Feb 2019817
Jan 20191,133
Dec 20181,100
Nov 2018980
Oct 2018967
Sept 2018957
Aug 2018920
Jul 20181,000
Jun 2018917
May 2018967
Aug 20171,400
Jul 20171,400
Jun 20171,400
May 20171,300
Apr 20171,125
Mar 20171,300
Feb 20171,475
Dec 20161,420
Nov 20161,250
Oct 20161,200
Sept 20161,050
Aug 20161,000
Jul 2016800
Jun 2016800
May 2016775
Apr 2016757
Mar 2016712
Feb 2016950
Jan 20161,056
Dec 2015983
Nov 2015966
Oct 2015853
Sept 2015713
Aug 2015738
Jul 2015663
Jun 2015579
May 2015693
Apr 2015812
Mar 2015912
Feb 2015975
Jan 20151,003
Dec 20141,066
Nov 2014967
Oct 2014992

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2478-76-retail-kg.