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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Muyange

Makamba, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 13% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,639–4,280

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,423–4,598

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 38% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,639 and 4,280 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,423 and 4,598 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Muyange: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 38% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,639 and 4,280 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,423 and 4,598 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 6,804); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,606–3,388 2,917 2,400–4,047 3,450 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,620–3,813 3,031 2,299–4,510 3,547 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,639–4,280 3,058 2,287–5,236 3,975 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,627–4,445 3,117 2,303–5,475 4,182 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,423–4,598 2,990 2,274–6,804 3,249 –
Price history (122 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,637
Jul 20263,000
Jun 20263,042
May 20264,222
Apr 20264,000
Mar 20263,259
Feb 20262,662
Jan 20262,567
Dec 20252,500
Nov 20252,854
Oct 20252,931
Sept 20252,700
Aug 20252,776
Jul 20252,645
Jun 20252,507
May 20252,831
Apr 20253,377
Mar 20253,327
Feb 20253,125
Jan 20253,772
Dec 20243,787
Nov 20243,600
Oct 20243,453
Sept 20242,961
Aug 20242,815
Jul 20242,509
Jun 20242,533
May 20242,942
Apr 20243,350
Mar 20243,363
Feb 20242,865
Jan 20242,567
Dec 20232,717
Nov 20232,900
Oct 20232,851
Sept 20232,741
Aug 20232,767
Jul 20232,367
Jun 20232,433
May 20233,355
Apr 20233,500
Mar 20233,383
Feb 20232,888
Dec 20222,548
Nov 20222,365
Oct 20221,744
Sept 20221,617
Aug 20221,442
Jul 20221,300
May 20221,819
Apr 20221,733
Mar 20221,204
Feb 20221,144
Jan 20221,000
Oct 20211,300
May 20211,450
Apr 20211,499
Mar 20211,533
Feb 20211,517
Jan 20211,400
Dec 20201,850
Nov 20201,733
Oct 20201,600
Sept 20201,430
Aug 20201,238
Jul 20201,050
Jun 2020944
Mar 20201,544
Feb 20201,200
Jan 20201,076
Dec 20191,177
Nov 20191,124
Oct 20191,133
Aug 2019936
Jul 20191,070
Jun 2019767
May 20191,100
Mar 20191,150
Feb 20191,100
Jan 20191,200
Dec 20181,408
Nov 20181,200
Oct 20181,133
Sept 2018957
Aug 2018850
Jul 2018817
Jun 2018758
May 20181,000
Aug 20171,044
Jul 2017978
Jun 2017910
May 20171,358
Apr 20171,516
Mar 20171,497
Feb 20171,642
Dec 20161,567
Nov 20161,275
Oct 20161,111
Sept 20161,067
Aug 20161,042
Jul 2016954
Jun 2016887
May 20161,087
Apr 20161,263
Mar 20161,154
Feb 20161,184
Jan 20161,317
Dec 20151,192
Nov 20151,008
Oct 2015923
Sept 2015817
Aug 2015758
Jul 2015737
Jun 2015744
May 2015840
Apr 2015808
Mar 2015817
Feb 2015979
Jan 2015843
Dec 2014834
Nov 20141,048
Oct 2014973

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2478-829-retail-kg.