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Food basket in Muyange

Makamba, Burundi · BIF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 L Oil (palm).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

29,522–38,848

BIF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

29,333–42,583

BIF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 31,514 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 29,522 and 38,848 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 29,333 and 42,583 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Muyange: BIF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 31,514 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 29,522 and 38,848 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 29,333 and 42,583 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.020,00040,00060,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

BIF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 30,083–35,421 32,216 28,846–36,777
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 30,024–36,653 32,773 28,508–38,502
Nov 2026
Next month		 29,522–38,848 33,130 28,234–41,300
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 29,753–40,271 33,352 28,239–43,685
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 29,333–42,583 33,549 27,401–51,318
Cost history (86 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (BIF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 202631,514
Jul 202631,320
Jun 202633,415
May 202637,640
Apr 202636,810
Mar 202635,504
Feb 202636,807
Jan 202636,430
Dec 202534,702
Nov 202535,043
Oct 202535,233
Sept 202533,625
Aug 202532,226
Jul 202533,590
Jun 202532,806
May 202535,242
Apr 202539,186
Mar 202533,242
Feb 202530,904
Jan 202532,532
Dec 202434,436
Nov 202432,010
Oct 202430,906
Sept 202427,911
Aug 202432,614
Jul 202430,740
Jun 202431,160
May 202431,153
Apr 202431,425
Mar 202433,273
Feb 202432,167
Jan 202431,924
Dec 202332,400
Nov 202332,842
Oct 202332,818
Sept 202332,400
Aug 202331,511
Jul 202331,295
Jun 202328,714
May 202331,293
Apr 202332,777
Mar 202332,810
Feb 202331,117
Dec 202225,402
Nov 202224,053
Oct 202221,384
Sept 202220,972
Aug 202220,145
Jul 202219,776
May 202221,031
Apr 202220,211
Mar 202218,562
Feb 202219,102
Jan 202218,374
Oct 202116,410
May 202115,135
Apr 202114,962
Mar 202114,854
Feb 202114,888
Jan 202115,609
Dec 202016,144
Nov 202013,915
Oct 202013,860
Sept 202013,555
Aug 202013,147
Jul 202013,002
Jun 202013,459
Mar 202012,926
Feb 202012,544
Jan 202014,117
Dec 201913,210
Oct 201912,541
Aug 201911,974
Jul 201912,812
Jun 201911,050
May 201912,432
Feb 201910,386
Jan 201912,740
Dec 201813,411
Nov 201813,270
Oct 201813,801
Sept 201812,946
Aug 201813,865
Jul 201814,471
Jun 201814,135
May 201815,120

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burundi

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 81% 94% 5% 1,874
Estimate (this month) 79% 93% 8% 1,810
Next month 78% 92% 10% 1,746
In 2 months 77% 91% 11% 1,683
In 3 months 78% 91% 13% 1,620