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Maize (white) in Rumonge

Rumonge, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 23% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,591–2,262

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,547–2,438

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 4% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,591 and 2,262 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,547 and 2,438 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Rumonge: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 4% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,591 and 2,262 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,547 and 2,438 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,572–1,925 1,705 1,485–2,088 2,284 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,582–2,134 1,806 1,476–2,272 2,504 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,591–2,262 1,824 1,526–2,541 2,580 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,619–2,460 1,932 1,439–2,646 2,848 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,547–2,438 1,837 1,374–2,796 2,546 –
Price history (116 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,600
Jul 20261,600
Jun 20261,600
May 20261,665
Apr 20261,533
Mar 20261,650
Feb 20262,121
Jan 20262,146
Dec 20252,000
Nov 20252,000
Oct 20252,000
Sept 20251,956
Aug 20251,933
Jul 20251,696
Jun 20251,877
May 20251,522
Apr 20251,653
Mar 20251,703
Feb 20251,998
Jan 20252,642
Dec 20242,930
Nov 20242,071
Oct 20242,106
Sept 20241,956
Aug 20241,953
Jul 20241,742
Jun 20241,675
May 20241,588
Apr 20241,636
Mar 20241,835
Feb 20241,822
Jan 20242,102
Dec 20232,000
Nov 20232,079
Oct 20232,056
Sept 20231,973
Aug 20231,931
Jul 20231,770
Jun 20231,900
May 20231,750
Apr 20231,738
Mar 20231,926
Feb 20232,000
Dec 20222,150
Nov 20222,035
Oct 20221,835
Sept 20221,583
Aug 20221,533
Jun 20221,200
May 20221,133
Apr 20221,000
Mar 20221,150
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,200
May 2021800
Apr 2021819
Mar 2021950
Feb 2021983
Jan 20211,017
Dec 20201,008
Nov 2020950
Oct 2020900
Sept 2020822
Aug 2020925
Jul 2020799
Jun 2020938
Mar 2020738
Feb 2020850
Jan 20201,300
Dec 20191,270
Oct 20191,067
Aug 2019850
Jul 20191,025
Jun 2019633
May 2019558
Mar 2019700
Feb 2019758
Jan 2019810
Dec 2018792
Nov 2018692
Oct 2018638
Sept 2018620
Aug 2018630
Jul 2018625
Jun 2018585
May 2018545
Apr 20171,100
Mar 20171,260
Feb 20171,275
Dec 20161,280
Nov 20161,150
Oct 20161,200
Sept 2016925
Aug 2016900
Jul 2016660
Jun 2016600
May 2016600
Apr 2016560
Mar 2016662
Feb 2016850
Jan 2016940
Dec 2015950
Nov 2015888
Oct 2015670
Sept 2015500
Aug 2015500
Jul 2015500
Jun 2015500
May 2015500
Apr 2015462
Mar 2015445
Feb 2015438
Jan 2015547
Dec 2014592
Nov 2014600
Oct 2014594

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2479-67-retail-kg.