Staple Signals Français

Home › Burundi

Cassava flour in Rumonge

Rumonge, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 3% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,909–3,017

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,974–3,430

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 4% over the 3 months before. For cassava, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 8% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,909 and 3,017 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,974 and 3,430 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Cassava flour, Rumonge: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 4% over the 3 months before. For cassava, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 8% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,909 and 3,017 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,974 and 3,430 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 4,898); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,998–2,554 2,271 1,920–2,722 2,644 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,936–2,695 2,286 1,819–3,283 2,552 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,909–3,017 2,274 1,897–3,829 2,927 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,902–3,241 2,296 1,846–4,898 2,921 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,974–3,430 2,382 1,792–4,829 2,832 –
Price history (116 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,317
Jul 20262,000
Jun 20262,219
May 20262,415
Apr 20262,292
Mar 20262,045
Feb 20262,300
Jan 20262,500
Dec 20252,533
Nov 20252,500
Oct 20252,310
Sept 20252,456
Aug 20252,300
Jul 20252,358
Jun 20252,361
May 20252,140
Apr 20252,062
Mar 20252,217
Feb 20252,280
Jan 20252,445
Dec 20242,447
Nov 20242,204
Oct 20242,367
Sept 20242,141
Aug 20242,235
Jul 20242,262
Jun 20242,375
May 20242,321
Apr 20242,422
Mar 20242,160
Feb 20242,142
Jan 20242,233
Dec 20232,000
Nov 20232,295
Oct 20232,185
Sept 20232,323
Aug 20232,162
Jul 20232,286
Jun 20232,200
May 20232,200
Apr 20231,850
Mar 20232,089
Feb 20232,300
Dec 20221,700
Nov 20221,615
Oct 20221,425
Sept 20221,312
Aug 20221,233
Jun 20221,300
May 20221,320
Apr 20221,167
Mar 20221,200
Feb 20221,350
Jan 20221,333
May 20211,200
Apr 20211,161
Mar 2021933
Feb 2021956
Jan 20211,050
Dec 20201,000
Nov 2020900
Oct 2020750
Sept 2020712
Aug 2020745
Jul 2020735
Jun 2020819
Mar 2020781
Feb 2020862
Jan 2020877
Dec 2019670
Oct 2019583
Aug 2019643
Jul 2019595
Jun 2019783
May 2019783
Mar 2019750
Feb 2019550
Jan 2019770
Dec 2018717
Nov 2018692
Oct 2018625
Sept 2018610
Aug 2018692
Jul 2018750
Jun 2018983
May 20181,133
Apr 20171,375
Mar 20171,300
Feb 20171,250
Dec 20161,220
Nov 2016950
Oct 2016900
Sept 2016850
Aug 2016800
Jul 2016880
Jun 2016900
May 2016850
Apr 2016860
Mar 2016825
Feb 2016800
Jan 2016720
Dec 2015675
Nov 2015625
Oct 2015600
Sept 2015525
Aug 2015525
Jul 2015600
Jun 2015600
May 2015593
Apr 2015646
Mar 2015588
Feb 2015588
Jan 2015578
Dec 2014596
Nov 2014639
Oct 2014639

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2479-74-retail-kg.