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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Rumonge

Rumonge, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 4% above the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,090–4,959

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,879–5,416

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

10%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 4% above the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 32% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,090 and 4,959 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,879 and 5,416 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Rumonge: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 4% above the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 32% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,090 and 4,959 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,879 and 5,416 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,615); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,112–3,985 3,440 2,968–4,766 3,569 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 3,116–4,358 3,520 2,846–6,162 3,687 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,090–4,959 3,482 2,842–6,502 3,944 10%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 3,086–5,201 3,589 2,864–7,949 4,144 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,879–5,416 3,450 2,773–8,615 3,445 –
Price history (117 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20263,367
Jul 20263,250
Jun 20263,797
May 20264,956
Apr 20264,708
Mar 20263,030
Feb 20262,998
Jan 20262,950
Dec 20252,833
Nov 20252,878
Oct 20252,867
Sept 20252,795
Aug 20253,000
Jul 20252,681
Jun 20252,807
May 20253,096
Apr 20253,153
Mar 20253,064
Feb 20253,055
Jan 20253,515
Dec 20243,678
Nov 20243,348
Oct 20243,239
Sept 20243,106
Aug 20242,829
Jul 20242,712
Jun 20242,894
May 20242,881
Apr 20243,019
Mar 20242,780
Feb 20242,640
Jan 20242,660
Dec 20232,500
Nov 20232,632
Oct 20232,732
Sept 20232,596
Aug 20232,500
Jul 20232,055
Jun 20233,000
May 20233,025
Apr 20233,450
Mar 20233,432
Feb 20232,900
Dec 20222,250
Nov 20222,218
Oct 20221,710
Sept 20221,442
Aug 20221,400
Jun 20221,400
May 20221,775
Apr 20221,467
Mar 20221,150
Feb 20221,150
Jan 20221,233
May 20211,300
Apr 20211,300
Mar 20211,500
Feb 20211,489
Jan 20211,233
Dec 20201,700
Nov 20201,617
Oct 20201,500
Sept 20201,462
Aug 20201,380
Jul 20201,214
Jun 20201,100
Mar 20201,275
Feb 20201,150
Jan 20201,160
Dec 20191,190
Nov 20191,100
Oct 20191,117
Aug 2019957
Jul 20191,125
Jun 2019783
May 20191,100
Mar 20191,125
Feb 2019958
Jan 20191,120
Dec 20181,217
Nov 20181,150
Oct 20181,050
Sept 20181,100
Aug 2018967
Jul 2018925
Jun 20181,028
May 20181,117
Apr 20171,400
Mar 20171,700
Feb 20171,700
Dec 20161,540
Nov 20161,300
Oct 20161,144
Sept 20161,000
Aug 20161,200
Jul 2016940
Jun 20161,000
May 20161,100
Apr 20161,100
Mar 20161,100
Feb 20161,050
Jan 20161,080
Dec 20151,250
Nov 20151,200
Oct 2015920
Sept 2015750
Aug 2015700
Jul 2015700
Jun 2015762
May 2015893
Apr 2015900
Mar 2015775
Feb 2015700
Jan 2015714
Dec 2014854
Nov 2014900
Oct 2014889

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2479-829-retail-kg.