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Food basket in Rumonge

Rumonge, Burundi · BIF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 L Oil (palm).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

35,230–49,206

BIF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

34,860–56,393

BIF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 39,725 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 35,230 and 49,206 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 34,860 and 56,393 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Rumonge: BIF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 39,725 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 35,230 and 49,206 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 34,860 and 56,393 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.020,00040,00060,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

BIF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 74,427); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 35,791–42,934 38,999 34,383–45,100
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 35,066–45,628 39,524 33,377–54,014
Nov 2026
Next month		 35,230–49,206 39,950 34,054–59,230
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 35,281–53,324 40,563 33,585–71,282
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 34,860–56,393 41,163 32,083–74,427
Cost history (86 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (BIF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 202639,725
Jul 202635,715
Jun 202639,475
May 202644,107
Apr 202642,128
Mar 202636,135
Feb 202638,769
Jan 202641,533
Dec 202541,365
Nov 202541,658
Oct 202539,054
Sept 202540,381
Aug 202539,210
Jul 202539,354
Jun 202539,839
May 202537,130
Apr 202536,554
Mar 202536,782
Feb 202537,248
Jan 202539,491
Dec 202439,665
Nov 202436,619
Oct 202438,262
Sept 202435,117
Aug 202435,565
Jul 202435,846
Jun 202437,320
May 202436,975
Apr 202438,253
Mar 202434,160
Feb 202433,849
Jan 202435,175
Dec 202332,640
Nov 202335,637
Oct 202334,448
Sept 202336,204
Aug 202334,207
Jul 202334,616
Jun 202335,595
May 202334,864
Apr 202331,127
Mar 202333,920
Feb 202335,338
Dec 202226,865
Nov 202225,818
Oct 202223,235
Sept 202220,516
Aug 202220,482
Jun 202221,225
May 202221,681
Apr 202219,124
Mar 202218,712
Feb 202220,340
Jan 202220,290
May 202118,258
Apr 202117,905
Mar 202115,314
Feb 202115,764
Jan 202116,298
Dec 202016,584
Nov 202015,084
Oct 202013,080
Sept 202012,459
Aug 202012,611
Jul 202012,308
Jun 202013,392
Mar 202013,165
Feb 202013,972
Jan 202013,987
Dec 201911,464
Oct 201910,505
Aug 201911,151
Jul 201910,959
Jun 201912,443
May 201913,093
Mar 201912,646
Feb 20199,866
Jan 201912,567
Dec 201812,193
Nov 201811,819
Oct 201810,736
Sept 201810,625
Aug 201812,202
Jul 201812,821
Jun 201815,548
May 201817,349

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burundi

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 81% 94% 5% 1,874
Estimate (this month) 79% 93% 8% 1,810
Next month 78% 92% 10% 1,746
In 2 months 77% 91% 11% 1,683
In 3 months 78% 91% 13% 1,620