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Maize (white) in Twinkwavu

Cankuzo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 11% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,291–2,153

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,230–2,322

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 8% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,291 and 2,153 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,230 and 2,322 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Twinkwavu: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 8% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,291 and 2,153 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,230 and 2,322 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 3,327); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,240–1,774 1,512 1,120–2,090 1,882 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,245–1,887 1,561 1,097–2,281 1,905 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,291–2,153 1,618 1,145–2,774 2,133 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,299–2,215 1,661 1,143–2,951 2,266 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,230–2,322 1,607 1,127–3,327 2,110 –
Price history (125 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20261,000
Aug 20261,571
Jul 20261,150
Jun 20261,274
May 20261,450
Apr 20261,067
Mar 20261,158
Feb 20261,904
Jan 20261,771
Dec 20251,720
Nov 20251,588
Oct 20251,375
Sept 20251,537
Aug 20251,450
Jul 20251,533
Jun 20251,627
May 20251,765
Apr 20251,494
Mar 20251,550
Feb 20252,099
Jan 20252,604
Dec 20242,519
Nov 20241,920
Oct 20241,950
Sept 20241,711
Aug 20241,615
Jul 20241,661
Jun 20241,492
May 20241,181
Apr 20241,200
Mar 20241,546
Feb 20241,528
Jan 20241,383
Dec 20231,433
Nov 20231,500
Oct 20231,557
Sept 20231,569
Aug 20231,617
Jul 20231,517
Jun 20231,600
May 20231,417
Apr 20231,454
Mar 20231,667
Feb 20231,894
Jan 20231,567
Dec 20221,800
Nov 20222,246
Oct 20221,769
Sept 20221,521
Aug 20221,394
Jun 2022900
May 2022907
Apr 2022783
Mar 2022852
Feb 20221,174
Jan 20221,212
Oct 20211,000
Sept 2021836
May 2021687
Apr 2021661
Mar 2021795
Feb 20211,125
Jan 2021783
Dec 2020881
Nov 2020967
Sept 2020929
Aug 2020989
Jul 20201,009
Jun 2020797
Mar 2020618
Feb 20201,117
Jan 20201,200
Dec 20191,158
Oct 20191,063
Aug 2019838
Jul 2019962
Jun 2019667
May 2019685
Mar 2019717
Feb 2019917
Jan 2019717
Dec 20181,025
Nov 2018730
Oct 2018536
Sept 2018662
Aug 2018567
Jul 2018517
Jun 2018462
May 2018388
Sept 20171,080
Jul 20171,012
Jun 2017948
May 2017862
Apr 2017764
Mar 2017779
Feb 20171,152
Jan 2017913
Dec 2016894
Nov 2016852
Oct 2016686
Sept 2016622
Aug 2016641
Jul 2016625
Jun 2016532
May 2016409
Apr 2016372
Mar 2016494
Feb 2016735
Jan 2016709
Dec 2015880
Nov 2015869
Oct 2015734
Sept 2015576
Aug 2015535
Jul 2015500
Jun 2015427
May 2015329
Apr 2015291
Mar 2015303
Feb 2015418
Jan 2015427
Dec 2014430
Nov 2014430
Oct 2014403
Sept 2014393

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2481-67-retail-kg.