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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Twinkwavu

Cankuzo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 3% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,799–4,818

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,584–5,090

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,799 and 4,818 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,584 and 5,090 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Twinkwavu: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,799 and 4,818 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,584 and 5,090 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,588); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,844–3,881 3,343 2,790–4,337 3,762 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,817–4,253 3,426 2,657–5,070 3,804 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,799–4,818 3,370 2,657–5,971 4,273 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,813–5,063 3,375 2,645–7,588 4,313 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,584–5,090 3,236 2,420–7,541 3,544 –
Price history (126 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20263,000
Aug 20263,391
Jul 20262,750
Jun 20262,622
May 20263,050
Apr 20263,383
Mar 20263,026
Feb 20262,721
Jan 20263,020
Dec 20252,850
Nov 20252,892
Oct 20252,757
Sept 20252,961
Aug 20252,983
Jul 20252,867
Jun 20253,374
May 20253,324
Apr 20253,485
Mar 20253,571
Feb 20253,145
Jan 20253,292
Dec 20243,761
Nov 20243,669
Oct 20243,500
Sept 20243,120
Aug 20242,969
Jul 20242,817
Jun 20242,633
May 20242,633
Apr 20242,850
Mar 20242,551
Feb 20242,296
Jan 20242,150
Dec 20232,600
Nov 20232,400
Oct 20232,811
Sept 20232,913
Aug 20232,900
Jul 20232,433
Jun 20232,633
May 20232,733
Apr 20233,318
Mar 20233,220
Feb 20233,025
Jan 20233,400
Dec 20223,067
Nov 20222,916
Oct 20222,264
Sept 20222,122
Aug 20221,683
Jun 20221,500
May 20221,458
Apr 20221,600
Mar 2022850
Feb 2022799
Jan 2022875
Oct 20211,200
Sept 20211,242
May 20211,033
Apr 20211,194
Mar 20211,292
Feb 20211,200
Jan 2021892
Dec 20201,728
Nov 20202,117
Sept 20201,688
Aug 20201,497
Jul 20201,346
Jun 20201,260
Mar 20201,200
Feb 20201,150
Jan 20201,200
Dec 20191,237
Nov 20191,275
Oct 20191,310
Aug 20191,130
Jul 20191,226
Jun 2019900
May 2019883
Mar 2019950
Feb 2019992
Jan 20191,217
Dec 20181,500
Nov 20181,300
Oct 20181,257
Sept 20181,088
Aug 20181,067
Jul 2018950
Jun 2018875
May 2018775
Sept 20171,207
Jul 2017945
Jun 2017902
May 2017946
Apr 20171,117
Mar 20171,149
Feb 20171,216
Jan 20171,500
Dec 20161,254
Nov 20161,226
Oct 20161,196
Sept 20161,016
Aug 20161,002
Jul 2016883
Jun 2016776
May 2016709
Apr 2016866
Mar 2016803
Feb 2016756
Jan 2016813
Dec 20151,075
Nov 2015940
Oct 2015851
Sept 2015696
Aug 2015644
Jul 2015572
Jun 2015534
May 2015559
Apr 2015604
Mar 2015555
Feb 2015577
Jan 2015712
Dec 20141,025
Nov 20141,052
Oct 2014993
Sept 20141,067

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2481-829-retail-kg.