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Maize (white) in Wimpfizi

Mwaro, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 25% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,254–1,926

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,199–2,042

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,254 and 1,926 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,199 and 2,042 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Wimpfizi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,254 and 1,926 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,199 and 2,042 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,159–1,577 1,345 1,037–1,626 1,809 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,176–1,693 1,413 1,077–1,918 1,862 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,254–1,926 1,502 1,095–2,181 2,410 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,246–2,000 1,529 1,087–2,356 2,514 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,199–2,042 1,486 1,062–2,494 2,200 –
Price history (118 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,250
Jul 20261,300
Jun 20261,229
May 20261,262
Apr 2026900
Mar 20261,206
Feb 20261,698
Jan 20261,658
Dec 20251,650
Nov 20251,578
Oct 20251,519
Sept 20251,444
Aug 20251,467
Jul 20251,467
Jun 20251,436
May 20251,206
Apr 20251,383
Mar 20251,243
Feb 20252,354
Jan 20252,200
Dec 20242,694
Nov 20241,963
Oct 20242,077
Sept 20241,813
Aug 20241,882
Jul 20241,500
Jun 20241,458
May 20241,392
Apr 20241,567
Mar 20241,618
Feb 20241,525
Jan 20242,000
Nov 20232,000
Oct 20231,900
Sept 20231,767
Aug 20231,700
Jul 20231,725
Jun 20231,718
May 20231,473
Apr 20231,609
Mar 20231,783
Feb 20232,122
Dec 20222,085
Nov 20221,850
Oct 20221,421
Sept 20221,233
Aug 20221,222
May 2022892
Apr 2022900
Mar 2022675
Feb 20221,000
Jan 20221,000
Oct 2021800
Apr 2021643
Mar 2021608
Feb 2021961
Jan 20211,067
Dec 20201,058
Nov 20201,033
Oct 2020675
Sept 2020575
Aug 2020622
Jul 2020688
Jun 2020664
Mar 2020574
Feb 2020500
Jan 20201,167
Dec 20191,039
Oct 2019848
Aug 2019529
Jul 2019672
Jun 2019483
May 2019442
Mar 2019492
Feb 2019550
Jan 2019883
Dec 2018825
Nov 2018720
Oct 2018617
Sept 2018617
Aug 2018517
Jul 2018542
Jun 2018550
May 2018525
Nov 20171,188
Aug 20171,113
Jun 2017975
May 2017963
Apr 2017767
Mar 2017706
Feb 20171,215
Dec 20161,276
Nov 20161,109
Oct 2016801
Sept 2016815
Aug 2016751
Jul 2016660
Jun 2016610
May 2016606
Apr 2016484
Mar 2016514
Jan 2016791
Dec 2015964
Nov 2015942
Oct 2015717
Sept 2015589
Aug 2015480
Jul 2015496
Jun 2015426
May 2015401
Apr 2015348
Mar 2015359
Feb 2015375
Jan 2015582
Dec 2014715
Nov 2014566
Oct 2014630
Sept 2014528

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2482-67-retail-kg.