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Maize flour in Wimpfizi

Mwaro, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 21% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,639–2,239

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,575–2,384

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 21% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,639 and 2,239 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,575 and 2,384 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Wimpfizi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 21% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,639 and 2,239 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,575 and 2,384 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,581–1,945 1,706 1,431–2,212 2,159 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,598–2,049 1,762 1,433–2,306 2,189 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,639–2,239 1,839 1,540–2,611 2,627 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,645–2,408 1,922 1,454–2,562 2,726 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,575–2,384 1,858 1,384–2,586 2,459 –
Price history (120 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,650
Jul 20261,700
Jun 20261,690
May 20261,617
Apr 20261,667
Mar 20261,712
Feb 20262,183
Jan 20262,075
Dec 20252,065
Nov 20251,909
Oct 20251,921
Sept 20251,900
Aug 20252,033
Jul 20251,933
Jun 20251,811
May 20251,598
Apr 20251,857
Mar 20251,887
Feb 20252,787
Jan 20252,716
Dec 20243,213
Nov 20242,317
Oct 20242,477
Sept 20242,163
Aug 20242,270
Jul 20241,842
Jun 20241,817
May 20241,675
Apr 20241,867
Mar 20241,918
Feb 20241,883
Jan 20242,283
Nov 20232,200
Oct 20232,200
Sept 20231,933
Aug 20231,900
Jul 20231,950
Jun 20231,836
May 20231,638
Apr 20231,809
Mar 20232,027
Feb 20232,519
Dec 20222,476
Nov 20222,138
Oct 20221,703
Sept 20221,473
Aug 20221,567
May 20221,162
Apr 20221,100
Mar 2022938
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,200
Oct 20211,000
Apr 2021812
Mar 2021755
Feb 20211,106
Jan 20211,183
Dec 20201,258
Nov 20201,192
Oct 20201,000
Sept 2020967
Aug 2020967
Jul 2020933
Jun 2020925
Mar 2020779
Feb 2020740
Jan 20201,233
Dec 20191,360
Oct 20191,194
Aug 2019869
Jul 20191,065
Jun 2019800
May 2019792
Mar 2019758
Feb 2019800
Jan 20191,083
Dec 20181,017
Nov 2018920
Oct 20181,000
Sept 2018958
Aug 2018850
Jul 2018825
Jun 2018883
May 2018850
Nov 20171,834
Aug 20171,667
Jun 20171,436
May 20171,389
Apr 20171,210
Mar 20171,128
Feb 20171,674
Jan 20171,700
Dec 20161,692
Nov 20161,554
Oct 20161,211
Sept 20161,214
Aug 20161,150
Jul 2016991
Jun 2016821
May 2016745
Apr 2016752
Mar 2016930
Feb 20161,347
Jan 20161,318
Dec 20151,337
Nov 20151,235
Oct 2015955
Sept 2015838
Aug 2015719
Jul 2015702
Jun 2015668
May 2015650
Apr 2015650
Mar 2015657
Feb 2015771
Jan 2015970
Dec 2014922
Nov 2014891
Oct 2014818
Sept 2014784

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2482-76-retail-kg.