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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Wimpfizi

Mwaro, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 4% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,498–4,015

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,415–4,782

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

8%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 4% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 37% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,498 and 4,015 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,415 and 4,782 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Wimpfizi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 4% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 37% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,498 and 4,015 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,415 and 4,782 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 9,462); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,441–3,103 2,630 2,242–3,823 2,878 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,490–3,550 2,764 2,154–4,553 3,091 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,498–4,015 2,803 2,147–5,714 3,447 8%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,488–4,255 2,835 2,108–7,162 3,504 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,415–4,782 2,843 2,125–9,462 3,460 –
Price history (121 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,500
Jul 20263,000
Jun 20262,858
May 20263,962
Apr 20264,167
Mar 20262,562
Feb 20262,610
Jan 20262,340
Dec 20252,165
Nov 20252,564
Oct 20252,581
Sept 20252,148
Aug 20252,333
Jul 20252,233
Jun 20251,991
May 20252,596
Apr 20252,893
Mar 20253,033
Feb 20253,272
Jan 20253,445
Dec 20243,506
Nov 20243,082
Oct 20242,923
Sept 20242,731
Aug 20242,448
Jul 20242,167
Jun 20242,117
May 20242,750
Apr 20242,783
Mar 20243,015
Feb 20242,889
Jan 20242,783
Nov 20232,700
Oct 20232,550
Sept 20232,467
Aug 20232,350
Jul 20232,000
Jun 20231,782
May 20232,610
Apr 20233,485
Mar 20233,410
Feb 20232,694
Dec 20222,152
Nov 20221,981
Oct 20221,712
Sept 20221,319
Aug 20221,222
May 20221,578
Apr 20221,500
Mar 20221,175
Feb 20221,100
Jan 20221,400
Oct 20211,200
Apr 20211,586
Mar 20211,394
Feb 20211,483
Jan 20211,550
Dec 20201,667
Nov 20201,650
Oct 20201,500
Sept 20201,338
Aug 20201,165
Jul 20201,043
Jun 2020920
Mar 20201,224
Feb 20201,233
Jan 20201,141
Dec 20191,084
Nov 20191,100
Oct 2019949
Aug 2019820
Jul 2019899
Jun 2019750
May 20191,058
Mar 20191,217
Feb 20191,025
Jan 20191,300
Dec 20181,267
Nov 20181,200
Oct 20181,133
Sept 20181,000
Aug 2018842
Jul 2018817
Jun 2018867
May 20181,117
Nov 20171,143
Aug 2017974
Jun 2017957
May 20171,116
Apr 20171,412
Mar 20171,464
Feb 20171,553
Jan 20171,334
Dec 20161,357
Nov 20161,105
Oct 20161,139
Sept 2016836
Aug 2016848
Jul 2016774
Jun 2016704
May 2016774
Apr 20161,064
Mar 20161,696
Feb 20161,502
Jan 20161,154
Dec 20151,095
Nov 2015896
Oct 2015838
Sept 2015608
Aug 2015551
Jul 2015583
Jun 2015527
May 2015669
Apr 2015741
Mar 2015637
Feb 2015723
Jan 2015810
Dec 2014822
Nov 2014748
Oct 2014775
Sept 2014620

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2482-829-retail-kg.