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Maize (white) in Biyorwa

Ruyigi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 35% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,148–1,902

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,125–2,120

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 35% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 16% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,148 and 1,902 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,125 and 2,120 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Biyorwa: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 35% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 16% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,148 and 1,902 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,125 and 2,120 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,103–1,645 1,279 1,026–1,780 2,115 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,086–1,758 1,290 1,015–1,782 2,069 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,148–1,902 1,358 1,020–1,904 2,367 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,175–1,982 1,415 1,001–2,119 2,668 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,125–2,120 1,369 941–2,910 2,434 –
Price history (65 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,200
Jun 20261,475
May 20261,033
Apr 20261,125
Mar 20261,538
Feb 20261,758
Jan 20261,905
Dec 20251,825
Nov 20251,530
Oct 20251,671
Sept 20251,472
Aug 20251,433
Jul 20251,450
Jun 20251,394
May 20251,159
Apr 20251,189
Mar 20251,110
Feb 20251,790
Jan 20252,090
Dec 20242,625
Nov 20242,231
Oct 20241,712
Sept 20241,700
Aug 20241,669
Jul 20241,552
Jun 20241,484
May 20241,552
Apr 20241,459
Mar 20241,624
Feb 20241,461
Jan 20241,700
Nov 20231,533
Oct 20231,519
Sept 20231,650
Aug 20231,700
Jul 20231,517
Jun 20231,432
May 20231,190
Apr 20231,275
Mar 20231,567
Feb 20231,397
Jan 20231,600
Dec 20221,518
Nov 20221,694
Oct 20221,244
Sept 20221,296
Aug 20221,330
Jun 2022900
May 2022966
Apr 2022800
Mar 2022750
Feb 20221,050
Jan 20221,067
Oct 2021900
Apr 2021650
Mar 2021650
Feb 2021900
Jan 2021725
Dec 2020954
Nov 2020725
Oct 2020650
Sept 2020685
Aug 2020544
Jul 2020583
Jun 2020575

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-3045-67-retail-kg.