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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Biyorwa

Ruyigi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 17% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,576–4,541

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,402–5,107

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 17% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 30% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,576 and 4,541 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,402 and 5,107 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Biyorwa: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 17% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 30% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,576 and 4,541 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,402 and 5,107 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 9,937); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,455–3,355 2,772 2,249–4,595 3,341 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,421–3,822 2,902 2,246–5,872 3,412 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,576–4,541 3,053 2,270–6,786 4,182 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,514–4,807 3,013 2,333–9,417 4,074 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,402–5,107 2,972 2,128–9,937 3,622 –
Price history (65 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,550
Jun 20262,325
May 20263,667
Apr 20263,375
Mar 20263,000
Feb 20262,627
Jan 20262,962
Dec 20252,604
Nov 20252,367
Oct 20252,603
Sept 20252,480
Aug 20252,333
Jul 20252,100
Jun 20252,189
May 20252,926
Apr 20252,487
Mar 20252,985
Feb 20252,873
Jan 20253,135
Dec 20243,471
Nov 20243,097
Oct 20242,946
Sept 20242,700
Aug 20242,510
Jul 20242,308
Jun 20242,353
May 20242,335
Apr 20243,047
Mar 20243,000
Feb 20242,669
Jan 20242,467
Dec 20232,500
Nov 20232,533
Oct 20232,806
Sept 20232,500
Aug 20232,300
Jul 20232,100
Jun 20231,436
May 20232,550
Apr 20233,275
Mar 20233,100
Feb 20232,750
Jan 20232,400
Dec 20222,242
Nov 20222,612
Oct 20221,575
Sept 20221,426
Aug 20221,340
May 20221,375
Apr 20221,500
Mar 20221,100
Feb 2022900
Jan 2022933
Oct 20211,000
Apr 20211,500
Mar 20211,325
Feb 20211,500
Jan 20211,275
Dec 20201,492
Nov 20201,775
Oct 20201,350
Sept 20201,175
Aug 20201,267
Jul 20201,062
Jun 2020838

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-3045-829-retail-kg.