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Maize (white) in Giharo

Rutana, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 30% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,269–1,958

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,238–2,114

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 17% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,269 and 1,958 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,238 and 2,114 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Giharo: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 17% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,269 and 1,958 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,238 and 2,114 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,240–1,652 1,437 1,151–1,845 2,130 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,282–1,775 1,518 1,167–2,053 2,394 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,269–1,958 1,498 1,112–2,570 2,256 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,280–2,016 1,543 1,133–2,674 2,424 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,238–2,114 1,519 1,062–2,797 2,370 –
Price history (61 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,325
Jul 20261,450
Jun 20261,252
May 20261,133
Apr 20261,150
Mar 20261,355
Feb 20261,860
Jan 20262,053
Dec 20251,887
Nov 20251,556
Oct 20251,685
Sept 20251,425
Aug 20251,400
Jul 20251,471
Jun 20251,533
May 20251,171
Apr 20251,344
Mar 20251,350
Feb 20251,471
Jan 20252,412
Dec 20242,500
Nov 20242,500
Oct 20241,800
Sept 20241,800
Aug 20241,688
Jul 20241,500
Jun 20241,389
May 20241,250
Apr 20241,422
Mar 20241,350
Feb 20241,673
Jan 20241,666
Dec 20231,700
Oct 20231,696
Sept 20231,703
Aug 20231,638
Jul 20231,730
Jun 20231,391
May 20231,515
Apr 20231,550
Mar 20231,826
Feb 20232,000
Dec 20221,700
Nov 20221,630
Oct 20221,642
Sept 20221,438
Aug 20221,400
May 2022802
Apr 2022817
Mar 2022827
Feb 2022800
Apr 2021615
Mar 2021570
Feb 2021750
Jan 2021750
Dec 2020700
Nov 2020700
Sept 2020795
Aug 2020708
Jul 2020700
Jun 2020867

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-3046-67-retail-kg.