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Maize flour in Giharo

Rutana, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 31% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,636–2,277

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,581–2,406

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,636 and 2,277 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,581 and 2,406 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Giharo: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,636 and 2,277 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,581 and 2,406 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,599–2,083 1,812 1,491–2,246 2,615 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,642–2,185 1,898 1,484–2,633 2,898 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,636–2,277 1,860 1,414–2,300 2,708 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,653–2,368 1,905 1,469–2,439 2,967 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,581–2,406 1,889 1,317–2,466 2,889 –
Price history (61 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,650
Jul 20261,900
Jun 20261,572
May 20261,600
Apr 20261,700
Mar 20261,870
Feb 20262,100
Jan 20262,327
Dec 20252,226
Nov 20251,869
Oct 20252,074
Sept 20251,890
Aug 20251,910
Jul 20251,867
Jun 20251,859
May 20251,668
Apr 20251,744
Mar 20251,796
Feb 20252,019
Jan 20252,753
Dec 20242,756
Nov 20242,750
Oct 20242,000
Sept 20242,000
Aug 20241,976
Jul 20241,982
Jun 20241,689
May 20241,779
Apr 20241,756
Mar 20241,600
Feb 20242,144
Jan 20242,085
Dec 20232,200
Oct 20231,983
Sept 20231,921
Aug 20231,985
Jul 20231,967
Jun 20231,718
May 20231,925
Apr 20231,575
Mar 20232,218
Feb 20232,150
Dec 20221,898
Nov 20221,832
Oct 20221,892
Sept 20221,600
Aug 20221,500
May 20221,017
Apr 20221,133
Mar 20221,173
Feb 20221,200
Apr 2021659
Mar 2021640
Feb 2021850
Jan 2021850
Dec 2020800
Nov 2020800
Sept 2020938
Aug 2020867
Jul 2020820
Jun 20201,017

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-3046-76-retail-kg.