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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Giharo

Rutana, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 13% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,086–4,617

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,830–5,333

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 28% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,086 and 4,617 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,830 and 5,333 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Giharo: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 28% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,086 and 4,617 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,830 and 5,333 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,610); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,968–3,874 3,324 2,626–4,572 3,906 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,994–4,396 3,438 2,535–4,890 4,253 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,086–4,617 3,538 2,527–5,404 4,955 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 3,040–4,908 3,530 2,550–6,377 4,785 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,830–5,333 3,405 2,360–8,610 4,200 –
Price history (61 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20263,000
Jul 20263,250
Jun 20262,702
May 20264,167
Apr 20263,250
Mar 20262,975
Feb 20263,071
Jan 20263,206
Dec 20253,048
Nov 20253,328
Oct 20252,941
Sept 20252,942
Aug 20252,565
Jul 20252,626
Jun 20252,609
May 20252,397
Apr 20252,906
Mar 20253,088
Feb 20252,838
Jan 20253,250
Dec 20243,772
Nov 20243,900
Oct 20243,500
Sept 20242,800
Aug 20242,700
Jul 20242,529
Jun 20242,367
May 20242,541
Apr 20243,528
Mar 20242,850
Feb 20242,547
Jan 20242,476
Dec 20232,600
Oct 20232,504
Sept 20232,515
Aug 20232,400
Jul 20232,167
Jun 20231,500
May 20233,005
Apr 20233,188
Mar 20232,779
Feb 20232,500
Dec 20222,391
Nov 20222,375
Oct 20221,983
Sept 20221,779
Aug 20221,450
May 20221,400
Apr 20221,400
Mar 2022962
Feb 2022800
Apr 20211,300
Mar 20211,300
Feb 20211,133
Jan 20211,300
Dec 20201,800
Nov 20201,750
Sept 20201,265
Aug 20201,200
Jul 20201,113
Jun 2020900

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-3046-829-retail-kg.