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Maize (white) in Burambi

Rumonge, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 22% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,758–2,634

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,708–2,712

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 10% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,758 and 2,634 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,708 and 2,712 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Burambi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 10% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,758 and 2,634 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,708 and 2,712 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,700–2,164 1,864 1,562–2,442 2,473 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,700–2,401 1,947 1,536–2,800 2,659 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,758–2,634 1,994 1,586–3,186 2,876 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,743–2,692 2,011 1,568–3,292 2,917 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,708–2,712 2,003 1,460–3,140 2,843 –
Price history (64 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,817
Jun 20261,717
May 20261,657
Apr 20261,550
Mar 20261,801
Feb 20262,251
Jan 20262,196
Dec 20252,167
Nov 20252,025
Oct 20252,021
Sept 20251,748
Aug 20252,000
Jul 20252,046
Jun 20251,771
May 20251,552
Apr 20252,000
Mar 20251,979
Feb 20252,427
Jan 20252,772
Dec 20242,933
Nov 20242,485
Oct 20242,376
Sept 20242,012
Aug 20241,898
Jul 20241,815
Jun 20241,550
May 20241,583
Apr 20241,750
Mar 20241,675
Feb 20241,900
Jan 20242,067
Dec 20232,000
Nov 20232,058
Oct 20232,045
Sept 20232,100
Aug 20232,054
Jul 20232,000
Jun 20231,850
May 20231,725
Apr 20231,652
Mar 20231,723
Feb 20231,986
Jan 20232,000
Dec 20222,073
Nov 20222,097
Oct 20221,806
Sept 20221,616
Aug 20221,467
May 20221,100
Apr 20221,000
Mar 20221,100
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,250
Apr 20211,105
Mar 20211,032
Feb 20211,100
Jan 20211,117
Dec 20201,017
Nov 20201,150
Oct 2020950
Sept 2020983
Aug 20201,000
Jul 2020987
Jun 20201,022

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-3047-67-retail-kg.