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Cassava flour in Burambi

Rumonge, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 26% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,089–3,302

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,074–3,863

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 26% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 15% over the 3 months before. For cassava, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 8% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,089 and 3,302 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,074 and 3,863 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Cassava flour, Burambi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 26% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 15% over the 3 months before. For cassava, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 8% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,089 and 3,302 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,074 and 3,863 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,0005,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 6,028); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,037–2,804 2,397 1,834–3,127 3,035 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,095–3,034 2,517 1,866–3,528 3,314 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,089–3,302 2,494 1,817–3,827 3,420 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,006–3,543 2,464 1,736–5,538 3,334 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,074–3,863 2,581 1,868–6,028 3,615 –
Price history (64 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,208
Jun 20262,400
May 20262,607
Apr 20262,150
Mar 20262,242
Feb 20262,702
Jan 20262,494
Dec 20252,435
Nov 20252,226
Oct 20252,285
Sept 20251,930
Aug 20252,500
Jul 20252,136
Jun 20252,390
May 20252,440
Apr 20252,500
Mar 20252,503
Feb 20252,543
Jan 20252,706
Dec 20242,417
Nov 20242,510
Oct 20242,364
Sept 20242,225
Aug 20242,214
Jul 20242,312
Jun 20242,400
May 20242,267
Apr 20242,150
Mar 20242,350
Feb 20242,300
Jan 20242,383
Dec 20232,000
Nov 20232,357
Oct 20232,393
Sept 20232,373
Aug 20232,408
Jul 20232,300
Jun 20232,200
May 20232,250
Apr 20232,139
Mar 20231,983
Feb 20232,179
Jan 20232,300
Dec 20221,836
Nov 20221,776
Oct 20221,622
Sept 20221,556
Aug 20221,367
May 20221,350
Apr 20221,100
Mar 20221,167
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,175
Apr 2021864
Mar 2021888
Feb 20211,078
Jan 2021933
Dec 2020900
Nov 2020944
Oct 2020900
Sept 2020767
Aug 2020830
Jul 2020865
Jun 2020889

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-3047-74-retail-kg.