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Maize flour in Burambi

Rumonge, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 21% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,049–2,924

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,992–3,029

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 21% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 7% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,049 and 2,924 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,992 and 3,029 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Burambi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 21% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 7% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,049 and 2,924 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,992 and 3,029 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 4,173); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,972–2,369 2,122 1,850–2,674 2,742 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,023–2,590 2,241 1,873–2,808 3,006 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,049–2,924 2,273 1,878–3,726 3,186 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,030–2,997 2,296 1,868–4,173 3,243 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,992–3,029 2,285 1,735–3,947 3,150 –
Price history (64 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,083
Jun 20262,067
May 20261,947
Apr 20261,950
Mar 20262,216
Feb 20262,511
Jan 20262,480
Dec 20252,562
Nov 20252,415
Oct 20252,348
Sept 20252,089
Aug 20252,400
Jul 20252,454
Jun 20252,021
May 20251,840
Apr 20252,235
Mar 20252,265
Feb 20252,987
Jan 20253,228
Dec 20243,233
Nov 20242,645
Oct 20242,676
Sept 20242,300
Aug 20242,122
Jul 20242,074
Jun 20241,900
May 20241,817
Apr 20242,075
Mar 20242,050
Feb 20242,200
Jan 20242,417
Dec 20232,200
Nov 20232,414
Oct 20232,377
Sept 20232,342
Aug 20232,308
Jul 20232,200
Jun 20232,100
May 20232,050
Apr 20232,065
Mar 20232,023
Feb 20232,268
Jan 20232,300
Dec 20222,373
Nov 20222,376
Oct 20222,028
Sept 20221,838
Aug 20221,710
May 20221,300
Apr 20221,300
Mar 20221,333
Feb 20221,400
Jan 20221,475
Apr 20211,368
Mar 20211,327
Feb 20211,456
Jan 20211,417
Dec 20201,383
Nov 20201,494
Oct 20201,350
Sept 20201,250
Aug 20201,290
Jul 20201,233
Jun 20201,300

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-3047-76-retail-kg.